TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over48c52,063$24,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,07325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c49,986$25,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,992.961,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c10,154$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,468.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c7,977$4,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720.2893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c7,466$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c3,583$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.781,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over47c3,305$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.664546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c2,159$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under39c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,950$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4f…ec14backed Under59c1,794$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c1,576$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed Under54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over47c1,424$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9717147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c1,404$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.5195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c1,214$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c1,181$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.4752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c1,148$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.042,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under39c999.23$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c960$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c902.28$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c900.46$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Under53c826.92$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.515246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under55c786.2$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4308240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under17c783$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9113036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c775.65$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c734.69$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.693348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Under50c701$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.535447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over47c637.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under45c634$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Over48c563.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Under71c529.79$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.374742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under58c516.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over70c511.13$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.672281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under56c511$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.262,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under52c503.85$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26239864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over45c471.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.838641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under54c461.4$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3345251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under53c453.01$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed Under51c441.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under17c416.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Under54c407.91$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2714042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Over55c403.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.641838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c386.51$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.821,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c375.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under7c362$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.786524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under44c350.01$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3316147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.153253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Over49c284.28$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under17c270$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over37c261.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.872,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over38c258.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c249.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.941,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Under13c240$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.953844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Over44c227$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.124734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under56c220.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6925850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Under11c203.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.483253.1%17 W · 15 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+70.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c182.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.321,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under19c166.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7353945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Over45c166.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5726755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Over48c156.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8122942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over53c141$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5420055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c03…7f23backed Under51c138$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c136.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under57c129.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.34944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6629040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under28c125.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7423741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c114.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under54c114.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7620247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under54c114.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.