NBA · resolved market
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc932b760caff6591ab1f5e74ea113f8e11534db12521429a334da0c03cc43df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 470.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 57c | 376.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 361.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 44c | 359.73$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked No | 44c | 358.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 57c | 352.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 39c | 185.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…3614backed Yes | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…d1cbbacked Yes | 55c | 162.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked No | 43c | 138.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 43c | 116.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2fc2backed Yes | 57c | 96.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 56c | 88.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 42c | 85.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6647…da75backed Yes | 61c | 82.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…f54cbacked Yes | 61c | 61.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 57c | 52.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…8b5fbacked Yes | 59c | 42.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.