TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$850,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$885,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $850,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Celtics52c176,052$90,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,798.7769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed 76ers52c115,113$60,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,790.4336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers61c92,079$56,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,910.9866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics38c86,624$32,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,916.9472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked 76ers49c67,819$33,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,587.918038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed 76ers49c48,331$23,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,512.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Celtics47c45,145$21,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,249.6959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers46c43,553$20,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,432.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Celtics47c40,000$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,80020545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,9004,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics46c26,688$12,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,276.6929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers60c24,758$14,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,846.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked 76ers48c23,478$11,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,282.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics54c15,909$8,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,519.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed 76ers54c15,625$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1257459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Celtics47c11,618$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,474.546028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Celtics51c11,508$5,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,869.0215844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed 76ers48c11,500$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9805459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked 76ers62c10,585$6,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,97921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5827backed 76ers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9420758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Celtics52c9,690$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked 76ers54c8,300$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked 76ers62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers60c7,917$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.6736549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed 76ers50c5,810$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90519937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.931,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers48c5,070$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.741,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked 76ers46c4,675$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.5116743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed 76ers51c3,958$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.833847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed 76ers50c3,898$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9496240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Celtics51c3,740$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.8344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x859f…e766backed 76ers48c3,649$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97f…2da1backed Celtics53c3,637$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b7…5383backed Celtics53c3,615$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.171060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…f6d7backed 76ers48c3,603$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.64887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf785…c473backed 76ers48c3,544$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.831266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed 76ers46c3,457$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.522937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Celtics55c3,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.1515850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers52c3,200$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers55c3,065$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Celtics46c3,011$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.7762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Celtics51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed 76ers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…5695backed Celtics53c2,906$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1103…25b6backed 76ers48c2,866$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6799…0ecebacked 76ers48c2,858$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x340c…0ecbbacked Celtics53c2,849$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.07757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics49c2,837$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed 76ers50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40017041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed 76ers53c2,488$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.396053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed 76ers50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2008532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers55c2,370$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…fc39backed 76ers48c2,227$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.15875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed 76ers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0605352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22fe…65acbacked Celtics52c1,933$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed 76ers50c1,900$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94433749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked 76ers59c1,829$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed 76ers47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9546839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x652a…083bbacked Celtics52c1,725$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics55c1,711$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed 76ers48c1,708$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.1917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed 76ers60c1,633$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.3314727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Celtics49c1,550$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.4756043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers51c1,533$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed 76ers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked 76ers52c1,454$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.61,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1980…5edabacked Celtics52c1,435$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Celtics50c1,252$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.0649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Celtics54c1,217$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.1719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed 76ers48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.673551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Celtics49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers62c1,015$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.551,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Celtics55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Celtics51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics49c999$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed 76ers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3916050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Celtics51c962.75$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916250%31 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 76ers57c947.35$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers47c833.46$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed 76ers60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3369049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked 76ers46c827.17$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.675839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Celtics54c814.81$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5b…a4d9backed 76ers60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.336358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Celtics42c806.17$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9327645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed 76ers60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32025657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed 76ers52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed 76ers47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Celtics52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Celtics52c650$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Celtics54c647$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.