CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6666b08ff888f212b260160bebea92637a0b125f6729e0bdbac8f14e499591dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 65c | 670.95$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TDK | 71c | 299.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed BakS eSports | 46c | 237.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BakS eSports | 22c | 228.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed TDK | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed BakS eSports | 39c | 164.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BakS eSports | 23c | 163.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked TDK | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BakS eSports | 24c | 141.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BakS eSports | 14c | 133.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked BakS eSports | 45c | 128.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…105abacked BakS eSports | 22c | 114.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed BakS eSports | 58c | 110.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TDK | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BakS eSports | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BakS eSports | 26c | 77.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed BakS eSports | 53c | 67.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed TDK | 46c | 64.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked BakS eSports | 55c | 53.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked TDK | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK | 67c | 46.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BakS eSports | 27c | 44.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked TDK | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked TDK | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed BakS eSports | 41c | 29.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TDK | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked TDK | 73c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK | 79c | 21.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DBakS eSports won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 1 WinnerBakS eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.