CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0191a19ab3198c49b5771c9afe6dded3a2e605b3e304632ac1ad921f8f3e9e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BakS eSportsof TDK, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed TDK | 34c | 864.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.49 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked BakS eSports | 53c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed TDK | 46c | 377.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed TDK | 58c | 377.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed BakS eSports | 33c | 298.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…5fb8backed TDK | 73c | 292.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BakS eSports | 62c | 181.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 48c | 130.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked BakS eSports | 78c | 128.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed TDK | 55c | 123.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BakS eSports | 46c | 121.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BakS eSports | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed BakS eSports | 60c | 115.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BakS eSports | 46c | 103.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed TDK | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BakS eSports | 44c | 90.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BakS eSports | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed TDK | 59c | 84.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed TDK | 61c | 81.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked TDK | 61c | 66.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed BakS eSports | 76c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TDK | 33c | 59.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked BakS eSports | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BakS eSports | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed BakS eSports | 40c | 50.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed TDK | 70c | 41.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BakS eSports | 54c | 34.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked BakS eSports | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BakS eSports | 40c | 31.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BakS eSports | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked BakS eSports | 55c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BakS eSports | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked BakS eSports | 77c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DBakS eSports won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.