Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe26063e91229231e8f71c9ba44ce9a2fe08a35fa045bdf6df9c78b78f3afa970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,858$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 78c | 2,720$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.27 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 941.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 584.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 29c | 418.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 14c | 410$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 380$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 79c | 362.32$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 20c | 326.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 30c | 306.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 294.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 27c | 266.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 228$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 28c | 222.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 78c | 195.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 25c | 180.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Yes | 28c | 177$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 21c | 174.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 26c | 169.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 145.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 23c | 138.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 71c | 137.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 76c | 136.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 20c | 129.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 123$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 118.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 108.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 95.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 34c | 88.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 87.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed Yes | 18c | 81.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 35c | 80.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 80.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 74.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 18c | 67.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 64.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 60.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes | 33c | 56.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 77c | 51.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 26c | 49.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 75c | 45.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 71c | 43.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 23c | 42.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 32c | 42.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 29c | 41.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…ec63backed Yes | 29c | 40.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 71c | 40.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 29c | 39.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 29c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 70c | 36.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 32c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…63b6backed Yes | 36c | 29.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 71c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 75c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 77c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 69c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 71c | 19.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 66c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.