Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed3f6b75b340f1549e83ff5dab4d377aa5dcf3466e3ae63c59d1ebebc5a1e9b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 33c | 3,312$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.73 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 31c | 1,265$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.23 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 68c | 881.82$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.82 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 21c | 594.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.11 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 70c | 520.86$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 63c | 476.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked Yes | 39c | 456$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 443.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 27c | 408.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 22c | 403.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.79 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 38c | 345.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 344.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 66c | 335$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 290.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 45c | 279.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 266.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked No | 23c | 227.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 227.07$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 226.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 225$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 214.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 21c | 208.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 199.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 186.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 174.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 144.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 75c | 141$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 35c | 137.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 18c | 133.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 46c | 129.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 128$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 121.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 25c | 116.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 31c | 113.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 112.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 101.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 66c | 101.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 35c | 92.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 60c | 90.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 33c | 85.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 28c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 44c | 67.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 67c | 66.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 37c | 62.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 61.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 62c | 52.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 40c | 47.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes | 25c | 46.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 46.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 70c | 45.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 79c | 45.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…9081backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 34c | 40.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…2106backed No | 73c | 39.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 67c | 38.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…562dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…ed5dbacked Yes | 28c | 38.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 68c | 38.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 62c | 35.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 34.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 62c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 68c | 30.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…9f80backed Yes | 40c | 25.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 25.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 68c | 22.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 21.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 74c | 20.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 65c | 19.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 74c | 18.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 63c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b0…7c9abacked No | 71c | 18.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…ab03backed No | 73c | 17.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…4ed0backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 78c | 13.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.