College Football · resolved market
Baylor vs. Arizona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5cfa3d856f1f1d1af4601a7b5df5bc9fe1890b31d9778fcaa0e687b0bf3d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Baylor, Arizona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Arizona | 69c | 36,233$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,232.59 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Baylor | 31c | 29,874$9,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,261.01 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baylor | 19c | 10,160$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.32 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Baylor | 43c | 10,000$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona | 61c | 7,740$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.89 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor | 34c | 7,129$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.33 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Baylor | 22c | 6,718$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.19 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Arizona | 80c | 5,006$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baylor | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Baylor | 24c | 4,943$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.13 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Baylor | 29c | 4,728$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.36 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Baylor | 50c | 3,007$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.89 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Baylor | 32c | 2,940$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Baylor | 35c | 2,346$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.88 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baylor | 20c | 1,876$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Baylor | 32c | 1,800$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona | 68c | 1,789$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.49 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Arizona | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Arizona | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor | 31c | 1,454$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baylor | 31c | 1,220$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.19 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baylor | 6c | 1,206$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona | 68c | 1,065$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Baylor | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Baylor | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Baylor | 32c | 999.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Baylor | 33c | 836.95$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Arizona | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Baylor | 31c | 669.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Baylor | 32c | 616.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…9eaebacked Baylor | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…552dbacked Arizona | 68c | 580$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Baylor | 20c | 573.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Baylor | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona | 63c | 554$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Baylor | 20c | 549.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona | 66c | 530$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Arizona | 78c | 515.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…a1c8backed Arizona | 68c | 510$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…bf11backed Arizona | 68c | 470$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…6a13backed Baylor | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Arizona | 72c | 400$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…9a3bbacked Baylor | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Arizona | 66c | 400$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Arizona | 65c | 385.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Baylor | 37c | 373.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Baylor | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Baylor | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arizona | 68c | 308.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona | 64c | 308.57$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Baylor | 32c | 296.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arizona | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Baylor | 33c | 290.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona | 68c | 241$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Baylor | 22c | 229.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…8497backed Baylor | 32c | 213$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona | 65c | 207$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Baylor | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Baylor | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…b6f1backed Arizona | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Baylor | 24c | 191.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arizona | 66c | 177.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Baylor | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Arizona | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Baylor | 34c | 146.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Arizona | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Baylor | 29c | 141.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Arizona | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Baylor | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Arizona | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Arizona | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Arizona | 72c | 107.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…c715backed Arizona | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Baylor | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Baylor | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baylor | 33c | 93.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…4300backed Baylor | 33c | 93.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Baylor | 31c | 79.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Baylor | 33c | 78.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Arizona | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Arizona | 59c | 67.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Baylor | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Baylor | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Arizona | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Arizona | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Arizona | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Arizona | 64c | 57.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…e2dbbacked Arizona | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Baylor | 30c | 57.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Baylor | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Baylor | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…31c7backed Arizona | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed Arizona | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…fc02backed Arizona | 71c | 39.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Arizona | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +10.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…0d00backed Arizona | 70c | 38.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…f6a0backed Arizona | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…8c77backed Arizona | 75c | 37.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…ed4cbacked Arizona | 69c | 36.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor vs. Arizonathis page
- O/U 62.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona (-6.5)Arizona won
- Spread: Arizona (-7.5)Arizona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.