TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,40027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9230…9e1dbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes62c19,089$11,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,834.9812451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No37c13,876$5,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,678.7924647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes62c10,649$6,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.621172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+57.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No36c9,689$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,201.097630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.7538526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes65c4,639$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes62c4,525$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8004418.2%8 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c4,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.9816244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No1c4,000$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9585149%25 W · 26 L+13.7wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+416.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c3,480$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No37c2,050$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No44c2,022$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.123259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No38c1,599$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.848240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes58c1,387$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.915352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes64c1,094$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes61c1,036$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.961050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No35c899.96$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No39c779.83$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.5121016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No42c731$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0222242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes64c677.48$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.593450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes64c626.73$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.112236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Yes64c556.25$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35612525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes48c519.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24031945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c462.82$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…2f2dbacked Yes64c421.88$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes61c421.36$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes65c364.97$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.232142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes64c350$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Yes50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes65c298.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd9…714cbacked Yes49c286.84$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes51c261.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.372842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes64c227.88$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.94551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No68c227.7$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.734235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes61c213.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes63c206.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9924247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0acd…ea40backed No37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+222.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.772548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x898d…f6a5backed Yes63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No49c187.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes61c166.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7526455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010263.7%65 W · 37 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.27128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1410431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed Yes63c134.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.725238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes61c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.253250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No39c118.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes36c111.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…0e50backed Yes48c105.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517050.6%86 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd729…d97ebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes63c79.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.351,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No63c72.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.679046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d3…f492backed Yes64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…9f30backed No36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+153.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026354.8%144 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb298…9862backed Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe55b…ee78backed Yes64c56.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…a84dbacked Yes51c50.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked No37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes65c45.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa663…fddfbacked Yes64c44.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes63c39.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…9ccdbacked Yes65c38.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes64c32.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.540355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No68c31.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0917345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43ac…0f0fbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75d3…1b1ebacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x379c…797cbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe457…1ac2backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x746f…8dc7backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes65c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.617249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.