Fifa International · resolved market
Will Latvia vs. Andorra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4804f6a9ea2d41c4d3f0d70bbfa708e86d6cd9e2635945e5dadfdc703a90a60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 4,000$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,949$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 27c | 780$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.4 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 685.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.44 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 28c | 652.21$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 72c | 646.81$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.7 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 450$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…4c86backed No | 74c | 390$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…3f21backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 27c | 371.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…2f2dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 369.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 27c | 302.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 40c | 251.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 216.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 71c | 86.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 75c | 49.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 72c | 41.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 37c | 40.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…d8b7backed No | 61c | 38.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Latvia vs. Andorra end in a draw?this page
- Will Andorra win on 2025-10-11?No won
- Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.