TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0891…a84d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.77
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jiangxi Open: Wushuang Zheng vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.26
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.75
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan Wangbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.74
Jiangxi Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Jiangxi Open: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Korneevabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+278.5%+$36.21
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$16.65
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+98%+$19.79
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.98
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+203%+$27.41
European Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.19
European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
European Open: Francisco Comesana vs David Goffinbacked Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Fenerbahce vs. BC Dubaibacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.