Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a01c8d11817883ace3fc008530644cc988443e76b958afbb67bf74fb4a9239e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Yes | 10c | 17,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.89 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,444$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.96 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 11c | 2,830$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.7 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,768$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73f…0a1ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,502$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +336.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.64 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2b5cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,020$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes | 11c | 919.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…ddb0backed No | 65c | 917.62$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 870$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 15c | 870$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 35c | 728.48$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 10c | 687.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 11c | 644.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 11c | 607.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 11c | 499.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.84 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed Yes | 57c | 483.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 36c | 283.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 61c | 260.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 64c | 208.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 179.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 57c | 172.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 40c | 169.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 163.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…03c0backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +398.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 11c | 107.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3593…6a91backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +500.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…d1c4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 11c | 96.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 96.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 86.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…74d1backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 50c | 72.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…2d33backed Yes | 44c | 71.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…0653backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…ddc8backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…fa87backed Yes | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked No | 44c | 31.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 49c | 28.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw?No won
- Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.