Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa565e148bfe6194f07b4f00c0ff922ee74836a27e36de009aa420a67d3881f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,808$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.33 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 29c | 672.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 17c | 599.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6937backed Yes | 18c | 542.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 511.79$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 28c | 390.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 17c | 292.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 206$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 191.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 19c | 187.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 77c | 157.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 19c | 130.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 18c | 109.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…813dbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 31c | 80.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 19c | 65.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 19c | 63.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 31c | 63.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw?this page
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?Yes won
- Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.