NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1de7dd60cfeafd67208d0c1fd82ad2679c16814cb49aaffcfc017647e58a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Wizards | 54c | 190,000$102,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,599.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Hornets | 46c | 70,000$32,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,800 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Wizards | 55c | 45,000$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,899.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hornets | 46c | 37,737$17,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,454.7 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 45c | 35,351$16,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,301.02 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,499.97 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Hornets | 45c | 24,996$11,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,745.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Wizards | 39c | 23,680$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.31 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wizards | 39c | 22,682$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,806.8 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Wizards | 54c | 22,640$12,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,272.61 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f63dbacked Hornets | 43c | 20,004$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,454.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Hornets | 44c | 20,000$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.97 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hornets | 43c | 18,137$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,417.63 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Wizards | 54c | 15,311$8,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,267.92 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 50c | 14,639$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.84 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 54c | 13,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.99 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets | 46c | 12,816$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,920.37 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wizards | 36c | 11,491$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.63 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Wizards | 55c | 10,118$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565.12 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Hornets | 46c | 10,109$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.7 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…4664backed Wizards | 55c | 9,176$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c0…c8bdbacked Hornets | 45c | 9,133$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wizards | 56c | 7,542$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.86 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 46c | 7,412$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.13 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards | 22c | 6,540$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.81 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Wizards | 55c | 6,520$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.94 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 45c | 5,657$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Hornets | 46c | 5,457$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.96 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards | 50c | 5,082$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.66 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Wizards | 51c | 4,756$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets | 46c | 4,682$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.75 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hornets | 46c | 4,580$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.2 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Wizards | 52c | 3,845$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.35 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Hornets | 48c | 3,755$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.58 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets | 45c | 3,716$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.55 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wizards | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Hornets | 45c | 3,329$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.9 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 42c | 3,241$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Hornets | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Wizards | 46c | 3,000$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.51 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 43c | 2,861$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hornets | 47c | 2,740$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.42 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets | 45c | 2,631$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.55 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Wizards | 43c | 2,611$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.43 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 56c | 2,401$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.98 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Hornets | 47c | 2,334$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.45 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hornets | 45c | 2,116$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.84 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Hornets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hornets | 46c | 2,024$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.05 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Hornets | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Wizards | 2c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 37c | 1,896$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.61 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets | 46c | 1,663$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 53c | 1,549$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.34 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Wizards | 26c | 1,425$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.68 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.96 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Hornets | 46c | 1,385$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.2 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 51c | 1,300$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Hornets | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Hornets | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Wizards | 57c | 1,186$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…c28cbacked Hornets | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…34a6backed Wizards | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Hornets | 45c | 1,101$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.61 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Wizards | 72c | 1,041$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Wizards | 54c | 1,000$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Hornets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hornets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Hornets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Wizards | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Wizards | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Hornets | 31c | 981.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.91 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Wizards | 11c | 917.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…af87backed Hornets | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…df47backed Wizards | 56c | 888$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wizards | 57c | 880.52$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.79 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 46c | 867.14$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.37 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 46c | 809.26$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Hornets | 27c | 750.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.36 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 57c | 732.82$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Wizards | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 54c | 723.16$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.3 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 21c | 699.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Hornets | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Hornets | 45c | 651.27$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Hornets | 46c | 651.09$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Hornets | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Wizards | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…9f2bbacked Hornets | 41c | 598.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 10c | 565.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…d0d6backed Hornets | 78c | 554.41$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wizards | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Wizardsthis page
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.