Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Korneeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd283c410506a0de8abf4ce08a92fa2cbc9b5f8e9aa7c85ac6035054c826888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guoof Guo, Korneeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2cc…10a6backed Guo | 7c | 12,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guo | 36c | 4,368$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Korneeva | 49c | 4,011$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.11 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Guo | 57c | 2,864$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Korneeva | 53c | 2,800$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Korneeva | 44c | 2,250$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Korneeva | 48c | 2,097$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.83 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…a7ccbacked Guo | 57c | 1,414$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Guo | 29c | 1,413$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.69 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Korneeva | 68c | 1,351$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.15 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guo | 23c | 1,347$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…6b90backed Guo | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Korneeva | 73c | 1,242$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.18 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Guo | 34c | 1,061$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.05 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Korneeva | 48c | 1,013$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Guo | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Guo | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Korneeva | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guo | 44c | 963.43$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Korneeva | 63c | 840.73$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.58 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Guo | 45c | 671.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Guo | 18c | 652.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.08 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guo | 17c | 633.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.73 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Guo | 40c | 612.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Korneeva | 66c | 604.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0c…122dbacked Guo | 34c | 505$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…79eebacked Korneeva | 64c | 504.51$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Korneeva | 71c | 468$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941d…70a3backed Guo | 38c | 328.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…5983backed Korneeva | 66c | 328.85$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Korneeva | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…42b6backed Korneeva | 65c | 300$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Guo | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Korneeva | 70c | 288.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Guo | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Korneeva | 70c | 233$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Guo | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Guo | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Korneeva | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Korneeva | 40c | 189.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Korneeva | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…8634backed Guo | 23c | 184.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guo | 59c | 182.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Guo | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Korneeva | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Guo | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…77d6backed Korneeva | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Korneeva | 68c | 128.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Guo | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Korneeva | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Korneeva | 65c | 91.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…a005backed Guo | 32c | 78.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Guo | 77c | 67.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Korneeva | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Guo | 24c | 57.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8f…8f6abacked Guo | 54c | 54.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Guo | 25c | 50.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Guo | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Guo | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guo | 35c | 49.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Guo | 26c | 49.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…4c21backed Guo | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Guo | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Guo | 71c | 35.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…24eabacked Korneeva | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked Guo | 66c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Guo | 55c | 28.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Korneeva | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Korneeva | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfb…3404backed Korneeva | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Korneeva | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.