Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Valentin Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc83135fb43ef32173fd1eea6239098383ff0f103a7ec0849eb00f8dd80100e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Bonzi, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Royer | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bonzi | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.49 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royer | 49c | 6,912$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bonzi | 55c | 3,113$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.56 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…b670backed Royer | 20c | 2,900$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Royer | 46c | 2,753$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.69 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Bonzi | 53c | 2,259$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.49 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Royer | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Royer | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Bonzi | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royer | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bonzi | 52c | 1,324$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.44 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royer | 45c | 1,167$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.85 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bonzi | 56c | 1,144$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Royer | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Royer | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bonzi | 68c | 726.64$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Royer | 48c | 618.11$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bonzi | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royer | 47c | 479$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Bonzi | 54c | 371.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Royer | 49c | 313.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Royer | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bonzi | 52c | 261.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Bonzi | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Royer | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Royer | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Royer | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Royer | 48c | 198.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Bonzi | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bonzi | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Bonzi | 52c | 133.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Royer | 42c | 120.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Royer | 48c | 119.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Bonzi | 50c | 117.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Royer | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Bonzi | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Royer | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Royer | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Royer | 39c | 89.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bonzi | 60c | 87.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Bonzi | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Bonzi | 56c | 62.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Bonzi | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Royer | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Royer | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Royer | 46c | 43.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Royer | 33c | 41.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Royer | 41c | 32.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc5…d98bbacked Bonzi | 53c | 29.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Royer | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.