NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080d94349ad80cb9f3a1e9477e2be9545252635933f5b58f07a0ef19b1b303ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Knicks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,194,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,339,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 820 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 42c | 154,071$65,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,591.39 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Knicks | 59c | 140,136$82,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,116.48 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Heat | 41c | 98,215$40,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,461.81 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heat | 62c | 57,624$35,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,771.85 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Knicks | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,499.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Heat | 46c | 45,059$20,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,245.71 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Knicks | 58c | 44,509$25,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,815.45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 48c | 34,672$16,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,562.2 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 58c | 30,612$17,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,754.75 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Knicks | 58c | 30,266$17,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,561.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Knicks | 39c | 25,001$9,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,768.87 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Heat | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,749.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Knicks | 59c | 24,670$14,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,519.42 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks | 33c | 22,609$7,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.52 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 42c | 20,045$8,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,566 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Heat | 46c | 19,710$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,568.08 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…8a36backed Knicks | 63c | 19,652$12,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,404.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Knicks | 59c | 19,276$11,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,332.65 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Knicks | 58c | 16,607$9,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,632.14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Knicks | 36c | 15,685$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.04 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 22c | 11,766$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.48 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Knicks | 60c | 11,646$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Heat | 43c | 11,577$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.27 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 34c | 11,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 39c | 10,830$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.32 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Knicks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Knicks | 43c | 9,653$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Heat | 42c | 9,456$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 55c | 9,423$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 40c | 9,050$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 58c | 8,991$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.89 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Heat | 41c | 8,543$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.37 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 39c | 8,387$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.37 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 59c | 7,781$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.53 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Knicks | 58c | 7,763$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.53 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Knicks | 55c | 7,274$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks | 58c | 7,000$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 77c | 6,280$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.52 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Knicks | 58c | 5,072$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.93 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Heat | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 69c | 4,739$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.16 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Knicks | 66c | 4,055$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Heat | 41c | 3,920$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.62 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Knicks | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 31c | 3,751$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Heat | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Heat | 80c | 3,500$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Heat | 76c | 3,422$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.44 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…400cbacked Heat | 42c | 3,414$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 52c | 3,220$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.61 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 57c | 3,074$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 42c | 2,921$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.89 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks | 43c | 2,740$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.16 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…2881backed Knicks | 4c | 2,727$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 60c | 2,673$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Heat | 54c | 2,664$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.86 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Knicks | 54c | 2,545$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.67 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Knicks | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Heat | 44c | 2,489$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Knicks | 38c | 2,339$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 58c | 2,175$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Knicks | 63c | 2,026$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Knicks | 39c | 2,000$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks | 1c | 1,859$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 52c | 1,774$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.53 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Knicks | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…4efabacked Heat | 42c | 1,705$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Knicks | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Knicks | 59c | 1,684$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 1c | 1,665$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Knicks | 60c | 1,651$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.86 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 6c | 1,507$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Heat | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Knicks | 67c | 1,460$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 37c | 1,358$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.45 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 43c | 1,320$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Heat | 38c | 1,303$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.56 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Knicks | 1c | 1,286$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47be…899dbacked Heat | 43c | 1,209$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…3572backed Knicks | 58c | 1,205$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Heat | 42c | 1,176$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.08 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 37c | 1,174$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.06 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knicks | 22c | 1,125$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Knicks | 2c | 1,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Knicks | 28c | 1,078$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Knicks | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Knicks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Knicks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Knicks | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Knicks | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Heat | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Heat | 40c | 999.98$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c4…b6e1backed Knicks | 58c | 987.59$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Heat | 40c | 983.16$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.16 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Heat | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Heatthis page
- Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.