TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ruudof Korda, Ruud
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Korda43c20,781$8,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,915.749137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Ruud57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Korda44c16,668$7,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,343.547857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Ruud53c9,032$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,246.341145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d61…3a5bbacked Ruud58c5,550$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Ruud59c5,311$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.7618933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Ruud59c4,624$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Korda37c4,258$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.8565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Korda47c3,333$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f6…ce43backed Ruud79c3,245$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ruud56c2,728$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.042,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda44c2,664$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.922,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Korda41c2,098$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.411,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Korda43c2,021$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.1913935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Ruud60c1,999$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.7844360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Ruud58c1,750$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7358023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae87…e848backed Ruud58c1,710$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Korda41c1,527$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.9462742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Ruud64c1,406$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4214546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Ruud59c1,304$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.752759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud66c1,237$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.31,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Korda42c1,129$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.581,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Ruud55c1,095$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.8833256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ruud58c1,055$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.11,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Korda42c1,016$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.718943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Korda41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41036440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Korda43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4308530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Ruud57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Korda40c855.9$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.358,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Korda24c824.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ruud64c707.9$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.466,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Korda43c604.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.589961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Korda43c572$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.226131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Ruud57c526$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Korda43c425.67$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0420431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Korda42c408.96$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.561,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Ruud52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6213435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Korda40c372.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9175547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Korda48c310.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5515832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Ruud63c307.2$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.091,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3405…5101backed Ruud59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Korda42c300.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.792,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Ruud57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1295869%40 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a2d…82f1backed Ruud51c298.9$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Korda43c290$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.742141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Ruud55c252$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4711943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Korda43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Korda43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Ruud45c221.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0513545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5a00backed Korda53c207.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.892433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Korda43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Ruud63c185.1$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.496358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Ruud53c180.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Ruud58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Ruud59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed Ruud55c168.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Ruud61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Ruud63c159.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0326045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Ruud63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Ruud33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5210251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Korda43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.525950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Ruud42c142.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2417442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98d…745ebacked Korda28c132.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Ruud60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Korda45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Korda41c106.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5773048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Ruud57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4328747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ruud56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x385b…03c9backed Ruud60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Korda38c85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3064…8943backed Ruud60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a4…52f7backed Ruud42c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.33669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Korda39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Korda38c52.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Ruud52c52.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.333450%17 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Ruud69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511457.9%66 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Korda43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Ruud59c49.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.416336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Korda43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d81…259bbacked Ruud58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…a84dbacked Ruud33c40.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.411729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Ruud59c40.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6831255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Ruud59c38.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.886833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Korda34c37.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ruud46c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1434842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Ruud57c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5243948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Ruud57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a64…bb41backed Ruud57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Ruud58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4816564.8%107 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec10…4d93backed Ruud58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.487263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7068…8236backed Ruud58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Ruud59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.916762.9%105 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Ruud59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3412…3a3cbacked Ruud59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Ruud61c32.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7635157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Korda42c28.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8215752.2%82 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e2…ca98backed Ruud62c27.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.559463.8%60 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Ruud59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4249955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…b2e1backed Ruud59c22.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Ruud76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.834851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.