TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonseca

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fonsecaof Fokina, Fonseca
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Fokina45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9722037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fonseca54c17,515$9,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,057.4876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…d4adbacked Fonseca55c15,473$8,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,962.731936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Fonseca56c5,371$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fokina48c4,674$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2251,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Fonseca56c3,933$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.724831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Fokina46c3,672$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Fokina46c3,628$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.9813935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Fonseca53c3,557$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.6812050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Fonseca55c3,034$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.411060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fokina45c2,744$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.9162742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Fokina46c2,631$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.4211343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c5…f211backed Fokina46c2,366$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Fokina44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1215048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Fokina37c2,060$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.1732050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Fokina46c1,900$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.8973453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fokina45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffb…4966backed Fokina47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3f…cc08backed Fonseca53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…d09bbacked Fokina31c1,686$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.17130%0 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Fokina46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5526035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ca…9381backed Fokina47c1,150$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Fokina26c1,141$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8415832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Fokina48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…af87backed Fokina50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc24…df47backed Fonseca51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Fonseca55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4508530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Fokina48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Fokina44c918.09$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9644125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Fokina6c900$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f3…7304backed Fonseca55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4052259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623a…0b32backed Fokina46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Fokina35c643.7$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Fokina31c627.05$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.243852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Fonseca53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Fonseca56c591.73$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3624560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fokina45c497.44$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Fonseca53c469.43$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6338348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Fonseca55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.559452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Fonseca55c449.22$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.152030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed Fokina46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Fokina40c381.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.981,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Fonseca55c361.82$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.823551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fonseca79c332.86$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Fokina46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Fokina28c320.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2675547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Fokina37c305.34$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.484628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88ce…cb62backed Fokina48c300.23$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.191844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Fonseca51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.58537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a81…e071backed Fonseca55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Fokina47c277.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.654751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Fonseca57c270$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.15862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Fonseca55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.522840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Fokina46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Fokina46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.216146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fokina46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Fokina46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fokina46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Fokina45c215.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.031747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b0…4013backed Fonseca69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Fokina46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9218338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Fokina27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5444423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fonseca53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Fonseca55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8220257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Fonseca77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Fonseca55c118.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5565040%260 W · 390 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Fokina15c109.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.361643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4728…f975backed Fokina46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Fonseca75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.673046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Fokina48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506723.9%16 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf773…b62dbacked Fokina49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb28c…be33backed Fonseca55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Fonseca51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4910846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ec…68a8backed Fonseca53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d0…be0fbacked Fokina14c87.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Fokina46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Fokina25c78.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Fokina47c74.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad5…bec4backed Fonseca59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f5…009bbacked Fokina46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Fokina46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Fonseca78c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f6…e998backed Fonseca78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Fokina47c63.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Fokina48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc256…aba2backed Fonseca75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156759.7%40 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0891…a84dbacked Fokina25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Fokina46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314551%74 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…d4e0backed Fokina46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Fokina44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e72…b2febacked Fokina47c42.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205360.4%32 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1da…d1e2backed Fonseca55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Fonseca52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Fonseca54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0472957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Fonseca54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0437233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5940…853fbacked Fonseca55c36.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed Fonseca71c35.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.436470.3%45 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Fonseca59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe02…409abacked Fonseca59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Fonseca76c32.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7212161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.