TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c7,000$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,109.9721058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c5,665$4,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,064.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No73c3,698$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.241850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c3,037$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.231,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Yes54c2,059$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,050$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No36c2,000$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,976$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.5448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No74c1,891$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.2816154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes57c1,338$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.497337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddca…0ddbbacked No73c1,200$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb58e…69e4backed Yes27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8763100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+119.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No38c1,125$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.674841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes27c1,117$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.053141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes63c1,051$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.475448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed No74c810.81$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No29c761.28$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes36c710$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.88169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c700$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51811832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…7640backed Yes72c500.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No19c457.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.624657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c401.2$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa78…d2d8backed No73c390.41$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No74c371.62$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27512565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No74c362$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.885240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes59c348.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.382646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c320.12$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462450%12 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22212540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes69c286.61$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No73c281.24$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.318958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…9266backed Yes27c233.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No58c220.93$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked No46c207$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed No74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…0596backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes27c184.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No73c175$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Yes27c170$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.54126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes27c140.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes50c127$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No34c125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes28c117.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.429643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes26c115.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2812923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked No45c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.411667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d4…a9d8backed Yes63c100.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5110339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5912134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834b…1fa7backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked No52c83.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.311030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…d799backed Yes27c81.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+229.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0264…e5cfbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No74c67.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.811369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…070ebacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x790d…9995backed No74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bee…de76backed Yes71c52.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831b…6645backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No41c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7210260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked No42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0891…a84dbacked No36c39.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907f…ae52backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes54c28.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…4d7abacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6b…b084backed No55c28.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…984abacked No74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…67e8backed Yes56c23.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6a…8071backed No52c22.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2722…67dcbacked No54c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed No73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23d0…a38abacked Yes61c20.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.