Serie A · resolved market
Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271bf355bc7ba3bfe3470c864f41c89e333ffdcdbf1e490b60e29acc29ce779e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 4,938$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.66 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…e1d0backed Yes | 31c | 2,043$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 1,787$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…3240backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed Yes | 31c | 999$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…2a02backed Yes | 32c | 807.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 799$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 32c | 728.13$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 25c | 680$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 31c | 454$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 31c | 322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…686ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…4896backed Yes | 27c | 300.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 74c | 266.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 260.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 32c | 249.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Yes | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 28c | 179.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 26c | 177.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 27c | 145.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 143.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 78c | 121.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…3a3ebacked Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…5e56backed Yes | 31c | 113.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b5…49bfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 26c | 97.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…da0bbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…5a91backed Yes | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 29c | 46.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…fff1backed Yes | 28c | 40.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…570bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…6840backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 73c | 32.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.