Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b232338d3784bae31069d331e247e0235edf3f3e5420c6cde29d4cf765c271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mullerof Muller, Nakashima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Nakashima | 75c | 16,985$12,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,809.3 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Muller | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nakashima | 35c | 13,486$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.93 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Muller | 24c | 8,331$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.23 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nakashima | 31c | 7,940$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.41 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Muller | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Muller | 37c | 3,751$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.29 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Muller | 69c | 3,431$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.17 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nakashima | 30c | 3,300$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Muller | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Muller | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nakashima | 46c | 1,717$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.15 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Muller | 31c | 1,686$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.78 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…6b90backed Muller | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.77 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Muller | 23c | 1,400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.04 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Muller | 67c | 1,112$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nakashima | 31c | 1,015$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Nakashima | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Nakashima | 71c | 958.33$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Muller | 69c | 947.01$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Nakashima | 76c | 926.54$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Muller | 76c | 916.32$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Muller | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Muller | 71c | 845.95$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…d227backed Muller | 76c | 840.44$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Nakashima | 33c | 803.59$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1661backed Muller | 72c | 795.81$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nakashima | 38c | 702.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Muller | 73c | 687.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Nakashima | 34c | 609.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nakashima | 68c | 549.54$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Muller | 75c | 536.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Muller | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Muller | 67c | 535.4$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Muller | 33c | 530$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…1931backed Muller | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Muller | 78c | 512.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Muller | 51c | 502.69$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.13 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Nakashima | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Muller | 33c | 493.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Muller | 41c | 492.65$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.65 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Nakashima | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Muller | 70c | 435.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Muller | 31c | 419.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Nakashima | 73c | 394.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Muller | 76c | 373.98$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Muller | 71c | 371.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nakashima | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…b06dbacked Muller | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Nakashima | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Nakashima | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Muller | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Muller | 26c | 300$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Muller | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Muller | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…1278backed Muller | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Nakashima | 31c | 285.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Muller | 77c | 281.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Nakashima | 69c | 275.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Muller | 75c | 267.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Nakashima | 36c | 250.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Nakashima | 75c | 236$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Muller | 33c | 223.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa746…5d21backed Nakashima | 24c | 207.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…361dbacked Nakashima | 70c | 206.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Muller | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Muller | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Muller | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Nakashima | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Muller | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…ce04backed Nakashima | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…a78abacked Muller | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…b9f7backed Muller | 72c | 193.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nakashima | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Muller | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Muller | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Muller | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Muller | 67c | 148.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f8dabacked Muller | 69c | 147.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Nakashima | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Muller | 23c | 144.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Muller | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Muller | 74c | 136.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Muller | 28c | 136$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Muller | 31c | 134.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…eba7backed Nakashima | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Nakashima | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Nakashima | 20c | 127.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Muller | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Muller | 68c | 117.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…5084backed Muller | 74c | 116.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Nakashima | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Muller | 23c | 111$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…b08bbacked Muller | 66c | 105.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Muller | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Nakashima | 74c | 100.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Nakashima | 28c | 100.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Muller | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Nakashima | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Muller | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.