Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f8ef44e5baa21c4dd6b71b87dc306bc1d14e693f164505b44bbe3de0effcf6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Tien | 63c | 15,992$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,991.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Borges | 38c | 10,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Borges | 30c | 7,928$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.58 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Borges | 38c | 6,777$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Borges | 14c | 5,658$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Borges | 22c | 4,991$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.02 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Borges | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Borges | 14c | 3,938$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.22 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tien | 61c | 1,948$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.83 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borges | 10c | 1,813$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…f13ebacked Borges | 38c | 1,721$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…9c74backed Tien | 62c | 1,721$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Borges | 25c | 1,708$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…4cbcbacked Tien | 62c | 1,691$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…1ec8backed Borges | 38c | 1,691$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tien | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Borges | 2c | 1,527$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Tien | 62c | 1,510$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Borges | 38c | 1,322$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.51 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Borges | 5c | 1,179$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Tien | 64c | 1,007$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Tien | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Borges | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Borges | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Borges | 17c | 708.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Borges | 24c | 627.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Borges | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tien | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Borges | 19c | 570.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Borges | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Borges | 35c | 430.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Borges | 39c | 385.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Tien | 75c | 325.62$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Borges | 11c | 272.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Borges | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Borges | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Borges | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Tien | 62c | 196.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Borges | 40c | 183.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Borges | 29c | 172.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…eba7backed Borges | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Tien | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Borges | 38c | 155.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Borges | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cacabacked Tien | 66c | 150.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Tien | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Borges | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Borges | 23c | 128.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed Tien | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…0ab7backed Borges | 32c | 109.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Tien | 63c | 109.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 28c | 106.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Borges | 19c | 105.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…78b2backed Tien | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Borges | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…c6a8backed Borges | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…32aabacked Tien | 59c | 91.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2674…faafbacked Borges | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Tien | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Tien | 63c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Borges | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Borges | 38c | 74.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Tien | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Tien | 61c | 67.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…8c56backed Tien | 79c | 64.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Tien | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Borges | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…285abacked Borges | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…6362backed Tien | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Borges | 38c | 48.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Tien | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Tien | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Borges | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tien | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Borges | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Borges | 39c | 34.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Tien | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Tien | 62c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b4…df08backed Tien | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Tien | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Tien | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Tien | 65c | 28.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…4540backed Tien | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Tien | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…f89dbacked Tien | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.