College Football · resolved market
Utah State vs. Hawaii
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdde1057bd5f62a06f15417908c6e601b3532d67723eebd35776fdb080b368f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaiiof Utah State, Hawaii
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Hawaii | 57c | 253,716$144,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,964.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Utah State | 49c | 116,232$56,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,664.68 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Hawaii | 48c | 111,424$53,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,966.85 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Utah State | 54c | 66,667$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Hawaii | 46c | 42,362$19,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,867.16 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah State | 6c | 39,407$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.86 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Utah State | 52c | 35,729$18,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,579.22 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Utah State | 55c | 29,041$15,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,965.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Utah State | 50c | 28,500$14,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,279.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah State | 49c | 19,981$9,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,810.07 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hawaii | 47c | 17,692$8,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.89 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Hawaii | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah State | 52c | 14,696$7,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.01 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah State | 52c | 10,000$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.57 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah State | 52c | 8,650$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Utah State | 23c | 8,484$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Utah State | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Utah State | 52c | 7,812$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.25 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah State | 56c | 7,315$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.41 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Utah State | 48c | 5,760$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.43 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Utah State | 48c | 5,481$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Utah State | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah State | 41c | 4,797$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.9 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah State | 48c | 4,502$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.84 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Utah State | 48c | 4,060$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.9 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Utah State | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawaii | 48c | 3,378$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Utah State | 53c | 2,886$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Utah State | 16c | 2,530$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Hawaii | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Utah State | 63c | 2,362$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah State | 53c | 2,345$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.78 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Utah State | 54c | 2,268$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Utah State | 49c | 2,120$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Utah State | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Utah State | 49c | 1,757$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.73 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah State | 30c | 1,632$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.53 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Utah State | 63c | 1,575$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Utah State | 56c | 1,558$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hawaii | 32c | 1,500$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Utah State | 53c | 1,350$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Hawaii | 49c | 1,189$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah State | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawaii | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Utah State | 52c | 720$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Utah State | 44c | 676$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Hawaii | 50c | 617$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…b8b2backed Utah State | 2c | 591$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Utah State | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Hawaii | 48c | 521.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Utah State | 25c | 520.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Utah State | 53c | 513.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Hawaii | 48c | 509$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Hawaii | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Utah State | 52c | 490$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Hawaii | 77c | 391.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Utah State | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Utah State | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Utah State | 53c | 340.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawaii | 52c | 337.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Utah State | 53c | 319.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Utah State | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawaii | 57c | 289.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawaii | 49c | 289.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Utah State | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Utah State | 54c | 282.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Hawaii | 51c | 276.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Utah State | 53c | 261$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Utah State | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Utah State | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Hawaii | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawaii | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Utah State | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Hawaii | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…757dbacked Utah State | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Utah State | 53c | 196.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Utah State | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Utah State | 57c | 173.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Utah State | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…f784backed Utah State | 58c | 153.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Hawaii | 55c | 153.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Utah State | 52c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Hawaii | 68c | 147.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah State | 53c | 142$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Hawaii | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Hawaii | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawaii | 10c | 125$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Hawaii | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Utah State | 45c | 110.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Hawaii | 48c | 107.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Hawaii | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Utah State | 54c | 102.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…befdbacked Utah State | 48c | 101.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Utah State | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawaii | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…253abacked Hawaii | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…7afbbacked Hawaii | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Utah State | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Hawaii | 49c | 86.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Hawaii | 47c | 84.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State vs. Hawaiithis page
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)Hawaii won
- Utah State vs. Hawaii: O/U 56.5Over won
- Utah State vs. Hawaii: O/U 57.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.