Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Polina Kudermetova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd2b4d9717e3a4b1106a058919dbc5ca4a630056a0e10ff49b647d534dbcee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korpatschof Korpatsch, Kudermetova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Korpatsch | 38c | 1,533$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kudermetova | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Kudermetova | 62c | 973.15$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Korpatsch | 27c | 861.12$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.8 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…1595backed Kudermetova | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kudermetova | 54c | 446.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Korpatsch | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Korpatsch | 45c | 307.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kudermetova | 62c | 161.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…7886backed Kudermetova | 62c | 132.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…008bbacked Kudermetova | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…3d53backed Kudermetova | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Korpatsch | 38c | 111$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Korpatsch | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Kudermetova | 70c | 75.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Korpatsch | 30c | 75.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Kudermetova | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Korpatsch | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kudermetova | 62c | 32.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kudermetova | 52c | 32.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Kudermetova | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Kudermetova | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Kudermetova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Kudermetova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Kudermetova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Kudermetova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Kudermetova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Kudermetova | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Kudermetova | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Kudermetova | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.