Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f15c7cb308e6f2d12db36d9b1b185b24b86a50c954256e4458f0bdb6be2b38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Yes | 56c | 40,000$22,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,660.54 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 45c | 20,144$9,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,032.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 44c | 15,994$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Yes | 52c | 3,444$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…2755backed No | 44c | 2,680$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,577$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 51c | 2,299$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.62 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 49c | 898.72$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.19 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 51c | 826.12$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.06 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 66c | 736.52$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 79c | 611$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 50c | 508.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 485.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Yes | 59c | 480$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 44c | 434.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 52c | 432.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 49c | 404.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 50c | 310.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 40c | 303.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 45c | 303.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 55c | 272.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…3d9dbacked No | 37c | 199$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Yes | 44c | 139.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Yes | 52c | 124.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…ee68backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 59c | 85.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 47c | 74.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 49c | 49.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…d86dbacked No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…9338backed Yes | 46c | 43.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Yes | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Yes | 48c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Yes | 71c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…9d2ebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…afd6backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…df5dbacked Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…536cbacked Yes | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…baf3backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?this page
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.