Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0021ec44bed6e340c1b8bc11eb64a4cd46476f8757444068514777477ddd2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 79c | 24,264$19,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,190.35 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Yes | 21c | 13,440$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,617.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 12,509$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,834.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 22c | 10,490$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,186.9 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 21c | 9,687$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,652.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 44c | 7,355$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.38 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.95 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,671$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.87 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed No | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.73 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 21c | 4,750$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.46 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed No | 53c | 4,713$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…72b5backed Yes | 22c | 3,400$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 75c | 3,153$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.57 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,050$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 2,742$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.18 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,547$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.33 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 78c | 2,426$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.49 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 2,419$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.99 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,373$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 25c | 2,213$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.6 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 22c | 2,013$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 44c | 1,971$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.64 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 61c | 1,883$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.93 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a4debacked No | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 20c | 1,668$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.77 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 48c | 1,379$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.65 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,278$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 1,075$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.25 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,029$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.01 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 9c | 999.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 61c | 991$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 55c | 889.69$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.36 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 80c | 845$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…0c2bbacked No | 36c | 838.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 53c | 830.39$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…6c41backed No | 79c | 800$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…7b95backed No | 79c | 800$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…d2f4backed Yes | 75c | 770.15$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 69c | 750.3$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 78c | 650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 75c | 640.7$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.71 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…68fcbacked No | 80c | 628$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…1150backed No | 79c | 550$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc7…4fafbacked Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +107%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 12c | 536$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 25c | 406.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…e874backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 354.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.89 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…6dbdbacked No | 78c | 350$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 60c | 330$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 77c | 309.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed No | 79c | 296.46$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 277$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.82 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 67c | 272.73$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 8c | 260.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes | 21c | 259.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 254.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 23c | 251.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 59cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…ee61backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…ec8dbacked Yes | 21c | 237.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed No | 53c | 225.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 80c | 212.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…5efabacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…b272backed Yes | 65c | 193.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 73c | 190.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 183.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…097fbacked No | 78c | 180.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…a08abacked No | 80c | 155.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.