Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce61246a7eeab54ff25dafbbef5ec4f4668a213e519dd6fe973e922b0ee624a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ee6…92c3backed No | 75c | 4,668$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…f0aebacked Yes | 25c | 3,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…eae4backed Yes | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 77c | 3,163$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.77 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…b928backed No | 75c | 2,670$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 75c | 2,638$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…85f8backed Yes | 25c | 2,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…3a85backed No | 75c | 2,001$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.27 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,529$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.74 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 71c | 1,381$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 1,272$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,095$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…f2f5backed Yes | 25c | 805$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 747.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.46 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…86e5backed No | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 25c | 605.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 581.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Yes | 30c | 473.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 23c | 467.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 30c | 439.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 423.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 31c | 416.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 25c | 346.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 316$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 77c | 294$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 31c | 263$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 59c | 227$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…4118backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 73c | 179.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 23c | 131.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 75c | 125.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…34a2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 23c | 91.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…7637backed Yes | 30c | 83.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b7…1d81backed Yes | 25c | 80.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 42c | 74.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 68.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…addebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…2e83backed Yes | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 50.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…bb86backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 76c | 43.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…ae39backed Yes | 45c | 22.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde7…e29fbacked Yes | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…91fcbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.