Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23971633a261d4187418b5eb601612c318cd161fb2a25fdcb2a6ddbb604ab375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Collignon, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Collignon | 44c | 26,337$11,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,874.11 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fokina | 39c | 20,560$7,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,982.54 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collignon | 56c | 15,808$8,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fokina | 52c | 5,799$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Fokina | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Collignon | 42c | 4,281$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fokina | 58c | 4,071$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.37 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Fokina | 42c | 2,424$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fokina | 40c | 2,313$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.16 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fokina | 51c | 1,814$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Collignon | 42c | 1,672$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.5 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Fokina | 63c | 1,634$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.3 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Fokina | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Collignon | 41c | 1,216$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.98 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fokina | 63c | 1,164$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.22 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Collignon | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Fokina | 68c | 898.73$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fokina | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Collignon | 35c | 797$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fokina | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Collignon | 43c | 481.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Collignon | 36c | 417.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Collignon | 36c | 416$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Collignon | 46c | 409.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Collignon | 36c | 406.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Collignon | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fokina | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Collignon | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Fokina | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Collignon | 34c | 347.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina | 67c | 298.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Fokina | 62c | 298.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Collignon | 43c | 295.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fokina | 61c | 294.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Collignon | 38c | 260$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Fokina | 65c | 242.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Fokina | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fokina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fokina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Fokina | 66c | 144.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Collignon | 42c | 140.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Fokina | 53c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Collignon | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fokina | 73c | 137.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…e092backed Collignon | 36c | 130.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fokina | 61c | 128.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Collignon | 36c | 126$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Collignon | 47c | 106.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Collignon | 36c | 100.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Fokina | 66c | 96.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Collignon | 34c | 96.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Fokina | 58c | 90.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fokina | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Collignon | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Collignon | 52c | 58.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Collignon | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Fokina | 60c | 46.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Collignon | 35c | 45.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Collignon | 34c | 42.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Fokina | 60c | 40.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fokina | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Fokina | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Fokina | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Fokina | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Collignon | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Fokina | 66c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.