Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Francisco Comesana vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3220e2eb6c0e00fcaa6779a82a8384f047a64610afe15dfa12768231061b0011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Comesanaof Comesana, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Goffin | 0c | 22,399$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Comesana | 66c | 1,020$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.94 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Comesana | 44c | 745.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Comesana | 69c | 737.6$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Comesana | 63c | 552.69$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Goffin | 52c | 404.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Comesana | 40c | 360.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Goffin | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Goffin | 50c | 323.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Goffin | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Goffin | 41c | 258.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Comesana | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Goffin | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Goffin | 47c | 127.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Comesana | 38c | 108.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Goffin | 61c | 102.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Comesana | 67c | 100.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Goffin | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Comesana | 51c | 80.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Goffin | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Comesana | 50c | 72.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked Goffin | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…f90bbacked Goffin | 31c | 53.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Comesana | 70c | 52.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Goffin | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Comesana | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Comesana | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Comesana | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…0b32backed Goffin | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Comesana | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Goffin | 41c | 44.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Goffin | 33c | 35.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Goffin | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Comesana | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.