TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes50c13,432$6,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,716.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No57c9,148$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.1821560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No50c8,288$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.848447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb29c…8f19backed Yes51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9923151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No60c3,760$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.363151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No51c2,890$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.3213050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No49c1,910$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.882642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No59c1,893$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.098242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No50c1,125$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.519055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes43c1,110$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes42c1,106$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes47c1,030$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.313132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c864.97$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.251,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes42c818.99$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed No51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes42c750$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes49c502.3$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes20c499.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No51c468.98$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9112050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes41c351.19$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6833938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c333$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.54131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No52c322.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.183348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes42c305.08$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No48c297.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.797529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No49c293.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.262832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c286.78$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8323153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes50c250$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.72055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes34c246.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.642441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x579b…4a2bbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No55c218.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.962941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes50c215.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes43c213.95$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.95825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.883857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c205.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.911,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No53c202.41$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.285736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes79c200.76$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes49c200.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1714452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes43c197.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.717926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ad…b7d2backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…d147backed No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes43c170$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.93630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes51c166.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No66c163.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.355160.8%31 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Yes42c150$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed Yes35c147.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes51c147.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes41c136.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.982931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked No64c135.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes36c135.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.862360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes34c135$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.12619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes52c134.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.343151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes24c128.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.013560%21 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes49c121.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.916850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b46…4f6ebacked Yes40c116.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b6…df1bbacked Yes41c116.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.646648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No57c98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.976743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b53…1fa3backed Yes47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes39c85.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.912369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes49c80.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked No63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes50c78.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.461643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ad…0acdbacked No50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+140.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes32c75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.36529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ac…4bdabacked Yes51c69.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0428…92cebacked No50c67.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked No65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0891…a84dbacked Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes29c59.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.825446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd136…9d35backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.