Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d8a730753893a529b4f17a89518c35d8184ec561ff84d9e4d36e5650f713b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,967$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.41 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 4,984$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.36 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,819$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.41 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 1,773$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Yes | 27c | 1,741$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 74c | 1,730$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 49c | 1,182$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 26c | 1,011$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 942.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…4c21backed Yes | 22c | 921.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 28c | 900.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 53c | 805.37$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.44 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 50c | 802.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 665.97$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed Yes | 49c | 609.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 27c | 383.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed Yes | 27c | 360.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 73c | 311.51$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Yes | 27c | 119.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 27c | 99.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 60c | 91.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…0fa0backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…9fd9backed Yes | 27c | 68.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 37c | 66.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…6011backed Yes | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…6645backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…8ab3backed Yes | 72c | 56.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 58c | 43.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 27c | 40.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…8642backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 73c | 25.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.