TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No72c17,155$12,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.5621560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ef…5232backed Yes25c11,370$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes28c8,986$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No75c7,663$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c4,877$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.941,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fa…b1d3backed Yes27c3,984$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Yes28c3,615$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes28c3,575$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No75c2,507$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3713050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c2,161$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.371,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c2,050$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49210521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd297…2c15backed Yes28c1,733$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No79c1,608$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.188242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No71c1,200$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3543145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes25c1,108$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes25c958$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1212050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No51c923.08$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.318976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes31c918.83$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.843348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes30c835.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No74c810.46$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.233151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No75c686.28$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.572832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No70c652.99$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.961346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No71c600$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No71c600$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No71c600$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes7c550.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7326040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes23c466.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.237529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c368$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No69c365$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes7c359.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.981931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e3febacked Yes25c305$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c272.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No79c271.41$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes23c265.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes27c248.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No76c236.03$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.033458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Yes24c229.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes25c228$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes24c207.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes25c204.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.137926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df9…3f14backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…59b3backed Yes26c195.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No77c193.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…35b5backed No77c170.75$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c166$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8414654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c164$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes26c151$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afe…ce59backed Yes18c135.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes24c123.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998c…f0babacked Yes22c105.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e9…30b1backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fb…c549backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203912.8%5 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c76.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb997…9fd9backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c3…f46ebacked No78c61.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe698…35eabacked Yes24c58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d7…8c77backed No79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5120860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d85…2f96backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d3…1895backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x540e…ffedbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No77c35.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.228263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No72c15.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.