Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf80be3b5dc9775fc2fc28f657323212ef4ea37bc99f532ac0c52b47e78449b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus Bolognaof Virtus Bologna, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Virtus Bologna | 34c | 563.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.59 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Panathinaikos | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virtus Bologna | 59c | 303.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikos | 38c | 299$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Virtus Bologna | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Virtus Bologna | 56c | 172.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…1dfbbacked Panathinaikos | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 154.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus Bologna | 30c | 149.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Panathinaikos | 26c | 138.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5938…fde2backed Panathinaikos | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Panathinaikos | 64c | 62.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Panathinaikos | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Panathinaikos | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Panathinaikos | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus Bologna | 31c | 40.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Virtus Bologna | 45c | 36.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Panathinaikos | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.