World Politics · resolved market
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f8b593544f1132e30d9908c57f44ffeb287499d9cb589dfa6cb9bfed23183d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 25,586$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 18,129$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,717$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,916$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 17c | 4,684$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.45 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 3,685$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 1c | 3,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…7933backed No | 72c | 3,333$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 79c | 3,185$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.79 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed Yes | 50c | 2,484$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,373$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,087$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…189abacked Yes | 4c | 2,087$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 29c | 2,035$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.21 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 1c | 2,016$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 24c | 1,515$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.44 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…ae02backed Yes | 35c | 1,404$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 19c | 1,327$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 52c | 1,289$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 2c | 974.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 30c | 936.82$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…c174backed Yes | 29c | 839.57$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc3…9614backed Yes | 30c | 729.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 72c | 723.73$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 712.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…e5d8backed No | 70c | 711.43$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…9b26backed Yes | 32c | 701.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 21c | 688.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 17c | 673$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…c792backed Yes | 62c | 640.27$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 73c | 626.23$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…9043backed Yes | 21c | 624.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 619.55$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 24c | 591.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…51e3backed Yes | 28c | 550$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 4c | 527.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 494.42$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed No | 72c | 487.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…7a41backed Yes | 12c | 473.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 22c | 459.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 410.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…a46bbacked Yes | 29c | 381.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…ca97backed Yes | 31c | 373.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 5c | 371.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 55c | 352.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…ee7dbacked Yes | 10c | 352.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…9d71backed Yes | 33c | 349.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 343$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…323bbacked Yes | 30c | 322.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 78c | 315.64$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…06f6backed Yes | 45c | 311.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…6ff9backed Yes | 53c | 303.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 10c | 260.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 79c | 252.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…41b6backed No | 68c | 245.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 80c | 215.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…b7e0backed Yes | 27c | 210.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 11c | 201.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…9cedbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed Yes | 29c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 28c | 199.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…8c51backed Yes | 11c | 186.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…f7fdbacked Yes | 55c | 182.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…9dafbacked Yes | 17c | 173.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…45a8backed Yes | 30c | 167.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…bd48backed Yes | 19c | 167.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 20c | 155.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…91e1backed No | 66c | 151.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…6a4fbacked No | 75c | 133.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7b46backed Yes | 32c | 131.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…d08dbacked Yes | 58c | 123.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…0e2abacked No | 66c | 120.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…7284backed Yes | 17c | 116.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 114.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 79c | 106.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…264ebacked Yes | 29c | 105.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…e571backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…038ebacked Yes | 20c | 99.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…8a02backed Yes | 11c | 97.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 78c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…8e98backed Yes | 30c | 81.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 17c | 81.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…b417backed Yes | 30c | 80.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 73c | 77.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…3b39backed Yes | 26c | 73.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…1967backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…b35bbacked No | 71c | 69.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…13b3backed Yes | 29c | 68.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…ce76backed Yes | 30c | 67.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…6339backed Yes | 30c | 66.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…109fbacked Yes | 32c | 63.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.