World Politics · resolved market
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec5039e455994c6f84662ffd78032e3473cc17deca5e2ccd58c46f99d7e5d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 0c | 62,316$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,850$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 39,869$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 15,732$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 3c | 15,072$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 13,429$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 1c | 10,755$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 2c | 7,102$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,481$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,459$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…eed6backed Yes | 6c | 5,411$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 0c | 5,201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…3226backed Yes | 3c | 3,971$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e39cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…ae09backed Yes | 4c | 3,157$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 8c | 3,045$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.21 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,888$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 5c | 2,850$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 1c | 2,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 2,678$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834a…3133backed Yes | 1c | 2,533$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…cfcebacked Yes | 4c | 2,373$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…6d04backed Yes | 1c | 2,322$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 2c | 2,286$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,282$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,027$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.81 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…de10backed Yes | 5c | 1,919$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,851$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,848$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…5a3fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,794$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…c95bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,788$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 3c | 1,672$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…6578backed Yes | 2c | 1,628$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…7f7fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,604$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…91b6backed Yes | 5c | 1,502$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…6600backed Yes | 2c | 1,490$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 3c | 1,367$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,363$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…5656backed Yes | 7c | 1,349$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…b9c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,338$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 1,315$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Yes | 1c | 1,088$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…9279backed Yes | 3c | 1,045$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +298.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed Yes | 2c | 1,005$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…95fcbacked Yes | 3c | 984.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…0f71backed Yes | 5c | 916.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 78c | 899.72$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 3c | 895.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 2c | 874.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…6122backed Yes | 3c | 873.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…ca97backed Yes | 13c | 863.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…edb3backed Yes | 2c | 839.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Yes | 2c | 833.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 3c | 767.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…e796backed Yes | 8c | 759.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…0b2abacked Yes | 5c | 734.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…fd8abacked Yes | 3c | 635.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0597backed Yes | 8c | 578.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 3c | 576.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…7e7cbacked Yes | 3c | 565.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…adb5backed Yes | 2c | 522.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…9043backed Yes | 29c | 517.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed Yes | 2c | 473.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…116ebacked Yes | 4c | 457.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…834cbacked Yes | 2c | 440$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…e27bbacked Yes | 5c | 424.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…30fabacked Yes | 4c | 406.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…fc8ebacked Yes | 4c | 392.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…a135backed Yes | 4c | 361.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…af33backed Yes | 8c | 355.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…d704backed Yes | 4c | 352.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…3399backed Yes | 6c | 344.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…d435backed Yes | 4c | 342.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed Yes | 5c | 335.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 4c | 301.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Yes | 8c | 286.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2a…638bbacked Yes | 4c | 280.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…23ffbacked Yes | 9c | 273.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…8a5abacked Yes | 9c | 269.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…02fdbacked Yes | 5c | 269.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 7c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 13c | 238.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Yes | 6c | 227.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 7c | 214.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…da91backed Yes | 8c | 206.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…0fbbbacked Yes | 8c | 175.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…3c42backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…95e5backed No | 79c | 96.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…5a8bbacked Yes | 22c | 73.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…7a41backed No | 79c | 27.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.