Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f8bc52bb22ad4c03e8bfc045a5dad8081df2ed58d8e8411b29b82d1797bccf

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,015,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,668,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,015,432 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 936 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	40c	98,050$39,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,387.01	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	79c	77,104$61,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,979.88	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	51,217$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.6	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf698…de39backed Yes	6c	49,803$3,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,201.86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1200…aaf4backed Yes	5c	45,004$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	20c	42,245$8,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,298.54	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes	12c	39,522$4,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,848.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	15c	35,887$5,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,421.1	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fee…ed5ebacked No	44c	35,858$15,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,978.73	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2720…476ebacked Yes	38c	32,636$12,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,463.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5462…eed6backed Yes	38c	32,100$12,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,072.12	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes	9c	22,813$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059.62	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	4c	21,801$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.2	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No	62c	21,626$13,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,194.06	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…aecebacked Yes	30c	19,007$5,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,642.13	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1b…9af9backed Yes	25c	18,913$4,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,681.19	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes	25c	18,870$4,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,647.48	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes	35c	17,349$6,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,024.12	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf983…7fb3backed Yes	23c	16,811$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,919.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	74c	16,455$12,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,255.75	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…14fabacked Yes	1c	15,648$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.72	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	24c	15,247$3,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,688.07	284	34.2%97 W · 187 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed Yes	22c	14,121$3,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,138.73	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Yes	43c	12,806$5,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,550.39	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed No	64c	12,534$8,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,501.03	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	14c	12,524$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.37	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc5…da90backed Yes	28c	12,321$3,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,485.88	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3fe…de10backed Yes	6c	12,310$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.03	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e07…358abacked Yes	1c	12,074$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Yes	24c	12,022$2,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,878.2	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	31c	11,946$3,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,716.86	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes	12c	11,924$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No	43c	11,473$4,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,484.22	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb727…cd6fbacked Yes	36c	10,194$3,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,708	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	29cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	9,884$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.89	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x35bb…009bbacked No	62c	9,699$6,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,658.25	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	22c	9,190$2,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,056.65	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-71%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Yes	33c	8,745$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.29	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed1…2cb2backed Yes	12c	8,142$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	28c	8,000$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,270	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…86b7backed Yes	1c	7,622$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Yes	7c	7,586$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.68	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	2c	6,987$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.52	150	26%39 W · 111 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked Yes	64c	6,368$4,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,071.92	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8d…53d2backed Yes	22c	6,201$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.01	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	78c	6,064$4,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.57	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No	61c	6,000$3,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,339.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	42c	5,977$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,487.54	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No	72c	5,935$4,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.18	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	19c	5,883$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.83	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5685…62e2backed No	76c	5,761$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360.93	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed No	64c	5,630$3,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,011.55	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x404a…9bf5backed Yes	34c	5,597$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9631…89a1backed Yes	34c	5,519$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,857.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb599…4f35backed Yes	4c	5,480$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	29c	5,309$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.15	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	19c	5,297$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.47	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40f…f15dbacked Yes	23c	5,099$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-29%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes	18c	4,829$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.13	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	63cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb02…df7cbacked Yes	48c	4,749$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes	25c	4,699$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.89	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1361…8de1backed Yes	31c	4,675$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.65	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…48aebacked Yes	37c	4,619$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,711	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Yes	21c	4,586$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.49	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	73c	4,418$3,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,193.15	102	61.8%63 W · 39 L	+13.2wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	30c	4,224$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.23	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9e…3a2fbacked Yes	29c	3,931$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	48c	3,783$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.36	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…a678backed Yes	52c	3,723$1,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,946.23	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+8.3wins	+0.23per pick	30cpaid	+66%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9b05…da12backed Yes	9c	3,714$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.59	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…c765backed Yes	42c	3,606$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2c…f823backed Yes	0c	3,600$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6626…b9b3backed Yes	33c	3,558$1,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160.64	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac7…aabbbacked No	78c	3,490$2,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.45	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35a…383abacked Yes	35c	3,429$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x890d…e39cbacked Yes	27c	3,383$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.67	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6515…4bc6backed Yes	29c	3,370$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed No	74c	3,370$2,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.11	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+11.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8365…44b0backed Yes	4c	3,348$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa340…f3d4backed Yes	1c	3,077$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcf…cdecbacked Yes	46c	3,070$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked No	60c	3,056$1,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.07	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed No	67c	3,000$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed Yes	24c	2,995$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	71c	2,987$2,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.02	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99ec…5fbebacked Yes	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3282…3e64backed Yes	64c	2,865$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-33%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	8c	2,800$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.21	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes	36c	2,799$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33db…417abacked Yes	26c	2,771$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.1	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5164…c36fbacked Yes	11c	2,720$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	23c	2,702$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.98	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No	67c	2,539$1,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.83	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed9…ca97backed Yes	45c	2,512$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.65	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked No	73c	2,500$1,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.99	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab40…e764backed Yes	41c	2,463$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…196abacked Yes	27c	2,441$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.42	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed Yes	41c	2,409$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.04	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6408…7f4dbacked Yes	72c	2,359$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a3…458cbacked Yes	33c	2,327$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.83	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event