World Politics · resolved market
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432e3bff20596f36c22e015ec23182e591ab7c37367e1ad96db73dc5984ddf5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,665,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,893,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,665,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 79c | 63,964$50,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,116.56 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 72c | 47,454$34,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,116.11 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 45,613$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.23 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes | 70c | 39,562$27,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,786.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 15c | 35,288$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 80c | 35,096$27,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150.92 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…48cdbacked No | 31c | 29,782$9,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,193.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 63c | 24,176$15,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.98 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 71c | 21,283$15,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Yes | 59c | 20,787$12,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,451.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 19,906$14,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.87 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…f1aabacked No | 36c | 18,821$6,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…5348backed No | 30c | 18,343$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 41c | 16,825$6,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 35c | 15,805$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.68 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…63d2backed Yes | 69c | 15,339$10,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…9af9backed No | 26c | 14,284$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…5884backed Yes | 50c | 14,077$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,077.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Yes | 59c | 13,186$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 16c | 12,631$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.78 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 51c | 10,849$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 18c | 10,431$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.45 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 37c | 10,401$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,537.98 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd96…eec0backed Yes | 71c | 10,176$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 58c | 9,568$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.71 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed No | 54c | 8,871$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 8,210$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.9 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked No | 43c | 8,144$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 67c | 8,055$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.37 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 73c | 8,049$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.14 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…292dbacked Yes | 75c | 7,718$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 21c | 7,708$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.03 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 69c | 7,289$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.95 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 27c | 6,554$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 31c | 6,547$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…89a1backed Yes | 68c | 6,039$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 36c | 6,016$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.46 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 65c | 5,983$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.46 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8972…b031backed No | 25c | 5,973$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…805bbacked No | 2c | 5,918$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…7e1bbacked Yes | 69c | 5,838$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 32c | 5,704$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.37 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 71c | 5,526$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 63c | 5,521$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 73c | 5,355$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…9a46backed Yes | 75c | 5,308$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d44…329abacked No | 55c | 5,308$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…62e2backed Yes | 71c | 5,286$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked No | 0c | 5,199$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 57c | 5,057$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Yes | 20c | 5,030$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 14c | 4,855$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.55 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed No | 33c | 4,840$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 69c | 4,800$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 61c | 4,725$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 4,631$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe125…f1acbacked No | 36c | 4,624$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 67c | 4,551$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.93 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 8c | 4,300$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 40c | 4,148$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 58c | 4,101$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.64 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 80c | 3,884$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes | 79c | 3,794$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 67c | 3,744$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.62 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 47c | 3,600$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.55 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…fc35backed No | 1c | 3,549$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…f8a7backed No | 17c | 3,490$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed No | 22c | 3,387$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…89a0backed No | 46c | 3,380$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 65c | 3,357$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.25 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 63c | 3,200$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 37c | 3,132$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…9cbabacked Yes | 80c | 3,060$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…452fbacked No | 11c | 2,952$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked No | 27c | 2,936$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…20d5backed Yes | 8c | 2,874$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +511.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 9c | 2,871$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked No | 44c | 2,774$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes | 80c | 2,690$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c1…9e98backed Yes | 79c | 2,670$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…3214backed No | 41c | 2,566$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 37c | 2,549$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.12 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,500$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.49 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 41c | 2,470$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.7 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed No | 34c | 2,411$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…aabbbacked Yes | 79c | 2,400$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…5f43backed Yes | 79c | 2,400$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 18c | 2,379$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.65 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 69c | 2,348$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed No | 42c | 2,309$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 72c | 2,195$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…bf3cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,152$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8a02backed No | 39c | 2,121$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked No | 31c | 2,119$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.9 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…df02backed No | 73c | 2,067$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…f35bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,030$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 2,023$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.25 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…2897backed Yes | 73c | 1,977$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 28c | 1,954$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 31c | 1,949$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.34 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.