TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Minnesota vs. Northwestern

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northwesternof Minnesota, Northwestern
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Northwestern65c38,468$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,468.3219362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Minnesota35c24,465$8,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,562.8216234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Northwestern58c21,794$12,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,105.9686243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Minnesota35c15,323$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,313.586838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern34c14,923$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,835.9940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Northwestern29c10,970$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,743.3726244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Northwestern73c10,727$7,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.184055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern61c10,175$6,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.9858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Northwestern65c8,437$5,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.872462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern73c7,409$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.7319842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota34c5,988$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.4313933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Minnesota35c5,605$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.7639954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Minnesota35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7503116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota35c4,504$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5782,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Minnesota36c4,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9938546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Northwestern27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.9217443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Northwestern29c3,329$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.491546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9105…97f2backed Northwestern64c3,251$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern40c2,846$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Minnesota80c2,336$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.473661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Minnesota36c2,086$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.8449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Minnesota37c1,951$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9311851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern63c1,866$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4252449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Minnesota37c1,799$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Minnesota36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5409635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern61c1,441$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.855350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northwestern38c1,336$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Minnesota38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a08…153dbacked Northwestern64c1,249$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc5…51c4backed Minnesota37c1,189$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa2…eca3backed Minnesota39c1,163$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota35c1,125$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Minnesota36c1,062$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.411,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Minnesota73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-80.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Minnesota35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Minnesota35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Minnesota35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35065945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Minnesota36c999.89$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.963650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Northwestern35c952.06$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.974247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b5…b3cabacked Northwestern64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.253680.6%29 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Northwestern57c706.33$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9810848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9c…b6f1backed Minnesota22c700$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Minnesota39c637.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.042931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Northwestern66c603.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Northwestern63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22213548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Minnesota36c579.2$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.97830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern62c539.58$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402e…e501backed Northwestern76c512$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdafb…0bfcbacked Minnesota36c480$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota33c474.24$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c22…8f64backed Minnesota23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minnesota29c431$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8657144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Northwestern29c429.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.713625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Northwestern68c409.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9910664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Minnesota34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13624229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Minnesota37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Minnesota29c382.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2426939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Northwestern63c359.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Northwestern80c316.96$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Northwestern65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Minnesota36c303.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4220757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x834b…60e0backed Northwestern63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Minnesota24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe024…14fcbacked Minnesota35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Minnesota63c300$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1886163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota37c297$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Northwestern77c263.84$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Minnesota38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c8…5586backed Minnesota79c253.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern47c248.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8154243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65f…f7f7backed Northwestern76c234.71$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba71…1fb0backed Minnesota36c230$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf869…f264backed Northwestern63c218$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Northwestern49c212.16$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.33540%14 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a00…87e5backed Minnesota37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94e…de62backed Northwestern64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Minnesota25c199.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Minnesota46c181.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Northwestern68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9730548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0060…4cc4backed Northwestern64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Northwestern62c139.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.165064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Minnesota74c135.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Minnesota38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Northwestern39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23a…b47dbacked Northwestern73c121.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota38c115.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0729249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Minnesota34c110.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.783135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Northwestern56c109.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Northwestern33c106$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.026023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Minnesota30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Minnesota37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x527e…5fe4backed Northwestern64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368100%8 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Northwestern39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.627856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…c360backed Minnesota37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3790%0 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Northwestern62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3814254.9%78 W · 64 L+12.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Minnesota37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d23…b55bbacked Northwestern62c96.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.024362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Northwestern64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7518868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Northwestern64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Northwestern71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.892548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.