TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa65f…f7f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$228.68
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.7%+$70.67
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$84.57
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.5%+$69.16
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$88.87
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$75.86
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36.06
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$25.1
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+27.4%+$36.52
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$8.45
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.18
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37.4%+$37.4
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.28
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.3
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$98.87
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80.41
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$45.88
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$49.33
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$151.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$31.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.47
Northwestern Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$56.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+91.7%+$55.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.