World Politics · resolved market
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd8315957aee006f55959623d07c897f4511699988ffb276123b5e83c7ec806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,532,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,400,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,532,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 0c | 298,270$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…b1cebacked Yes | 1c | 181,355$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…2eaebacked Yes | 2c | 165,172$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…ec3abacked Yes | 1c | 121,591$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262b…bb5cbacked Yes | 2c | 120,027$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…7225backed Yes | 0c | 109,755$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…d446backed Yes | 1c | 103,556$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…7973backed Yes | 2c | 82,133$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…070fbacked Yes | 1c | 80,850$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…4d64backed Yes | 1c | 73,507$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 61,873$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.92 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 60,878$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 55,355$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,575$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 45,326$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfe…174fbacked Yes | 2c | 33,368$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…a129backed Yes | 1c | 28,735$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…cfd6backed Yes | 0c | 23,375$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…85dfbacked Yes | 1c | 22,361$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 22,141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed Yes | 1c | 18,646$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…839cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,979$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…98adbacked Yes | 1c | 16,835$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 1c | 16,512$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 13,282$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 13,124$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,534$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…da5dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…90cabacked Yes | 2c | 10,392$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 9,592$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…9589backed Yes | 1c | 9,401$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ee…354ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,247$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…db7fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,873$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…51b8backed Yes | 2c | 8,828$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…863fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,422$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…0149backed Yes | 1c | 8,267$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed Yes | 0c | 8,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…3bedbacked Yes | 1c | 8,083$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…1f92backed Yes | 2c | 8,043$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…f07cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,591$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…de29backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 6,961$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…6a6fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,925$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…d962backed Yes | 1c | 6,916$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,648$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…26babacked Yes | 1c | 6,506$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…6141backed Yes | 0c | 6,483$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…594bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,373$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…a982backed Yes | 1c | 6,142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f4…1d79backed Yes | 2c | 5,753$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…a8e6backed Yes | 1c | 5,465$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…3adbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…5882backed Yes | 1c | 5,134$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 5,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0c…8759backed Yes | 1c | 4,981$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9d…c4e5backed Yes | 1c | 4,955$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…3eb1backed Yes | 1c | 4,748$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c8…d260backed Yes | 0c | 4,737$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…b8e0backed Yes | 1c | 4,613$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…5654backed Yes | 1c | 4,605$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 0c | 4,595$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 4,540$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…6b24backed Yes | 1c | 4,465$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 4,341$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…f089backed Yes | 1c | 4,317$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…7563backed Yes | 0c | 4,314$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,228$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,206$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…c220backed Yes | 0c | 4,169$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…0210backed Yes | 1c | 4,064$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 3,952$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…928dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…0e1cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…ea07backed Yes | 0c | 3,549$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…5881backed Yes | 1c | 3,383$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…580fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,337$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…6ffabacked Yes | 1c | 3,142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…aa04backed Yes | 1c | 3,074$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…b837backed Yes | 1c | 3,024$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4250…a513backed Yes | 1c | 2,932$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 1c | 2,859$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…b66abacked Yes | 4c | 2,824$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…3a75backed Yes | 1c | 2,760$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…cb2dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,743$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,575$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…637ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,482$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Yes | 1c | 2,477$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…2f00backed Yes | 1c | 2,361$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…21dcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,354$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c98…33fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…d64cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,940$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…2c83backed Yes | 1c | 1,859$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa542…187bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,704$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…d025backed Yes | 1c | 1,621$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…fa71backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…2604backed Yes | 1c | 1,560$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…fb76backed Yes | 1c | 1,557$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…4dcabacked Yes | 1c | 1,445$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…b711backed Yes | 1c | 1,439$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?this page
- Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
- Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes won
- Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.