Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89930a73729bcae24d655440f2ead985e967d520a0c9d676d562a1bc4aef35d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 62c | 1,868$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.66 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 6c | 1,456$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 1,200$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 24c | 982.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Yes | 63c | 676.79$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 79c | 637.21$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 70c | 635.11$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…276dbacked No | 32c | 620.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed No | 42c | 611.61$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.57 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked Yes | 54c | 570.37$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 54c | 404.47$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…d1aebacked Yes | 50c | 254.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 234.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 70c | 234.13$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 38c | 205.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 64c | 161$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 54c | 132.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 34c | 101.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 54c | 99.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 54c | 85.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed Yes | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 36c | 74.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 36c | 72.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 365 | 50.4%184 W · 181 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 62.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…34a1backed Yes | 73c | 51.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…857ebacked Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 75c | 41.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…bcfdbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…f17fbacked Yes | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 71c | 15.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10?this page
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10?No won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 10?No won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.