Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a01db4d123f4947f7d05b6412f3a542bbfe3d849a398ad351b3c84a06840e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…d061backed Yes | 62c | 6,782$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.19 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 36c | 3,860$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.22 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 47c | 3,690$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.8 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 35c | 3,453$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.71 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,300$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 77c | 876.88$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 365 | 50.4%184 W · 181 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 77c | 823.09$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.51 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 799.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.98 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…f38cbacked Yes | 16c | 551.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.15 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c562backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 13cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed No | 23c | 427.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…775dbacked No | 67c | 376.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed No | 77c | 300$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 70c | 293.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…ec23backed No | 66c | 251.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Yes | 23c | 227.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…3c34backed No | 66c | 150.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 15c | 149$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 37c | 116$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed No | 35c | 109.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 21c | 101.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…523fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe143…7823backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed No | 76c | 78.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Yes | 31c | 78.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 48c | 55.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 25c | 45.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed No | 68c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 68c | 38.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…bcfdbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 54c | 18.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…34a1backed No | 78c | 13.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?this page
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10?Yes won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10?No won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 10?No won
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.