Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7674b49efd8501f6ebe0d49129c7ef29b0db69660d38752208165a5387966d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c77…4d42backed Yes | 18c | 23,619$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 17,114$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.54 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 51c | 12,009$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.53 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 73c | 6,686$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.45 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 19c | 6,538$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.97 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 12c | 5,625$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.76 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 25c | 5,483$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.66 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 67c | 4,430$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.17 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 7c | 3,822$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 7c | 3,320$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 2,250$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 55c | 2,178$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.1 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 79c | 2,124$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.88 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 13c | 2,094$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 69c | 1,281$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 1,094$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 1,056$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.66 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 18c | 953.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 15c | 817.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 770.2$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.91 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 738.95$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.46 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 22c | 680.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 613.03$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 9c | 522.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…ea1ebacked Yes | 7c | 502$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 51c | 465$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 50c | 400$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 21c | 383$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 12c | 365.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…86ddbacked No | 59c | 339.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 334.16$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 14c | 304.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…f0c2backed No | 77c | 304.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 20c | 298.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 74c | 297.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 276.91$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 19c | 258.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 253.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…17cdbacked Yes | 9c | 229.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 225$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…ce00backed Yes | 10c | 220.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 216.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 9c | 215.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 16c | 212.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafb9…10cebacked Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 17c | 208.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…a416backed Yes | 5c | 208.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 207.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…d71abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…a03fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 177.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 177$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 169.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 42c | 146.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 71c | 144.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 137.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…502fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…7aefbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…cbc0backed Yes | 11c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 98.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 23c | 87.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed No | 71c | 85.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed No | 47c | 77.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Yes | 19c | 76.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adf…0376backed Yes | 38c | 72.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 15c | 72.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…9797backed Yes | 25c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 51.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…8693backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 41c | 44.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…112ebacked Yes | 38c | 41.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f54…82fcbacked Yes | 58c | 41.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked No | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 59c | 35.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Yes | 62c | 33.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 33.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 40c | 31.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 44c | 30.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 71c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?this page
- Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes won
- Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
- Will Rodney Walker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
- Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.