Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d4960a26b0696cb8c854e409944e8a69fefba21c68554187f29615ff5d3457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c77…4d42backed No | 13c | 15,087$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 26c | 6,583$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.01 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 77c | 4,856$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.39 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 22c | 4,457$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 15c | 3,759$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.55 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,621$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 17c | 2,696$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.94 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 59c | 2,425$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.55 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 33c | 2,337$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.03 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 52c | 2,210$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.05 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 23c | 2,063$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 25c | 1,637$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 79c | 1,461$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 1,445$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 70c | 1,387$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 7c | 1,318$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Yes | 73c | 1,210$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 1,135$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.85 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 79c | 1,120$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…183cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 917.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 52c | 912.08$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.76 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 26c | 900$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 23c | 861.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 18c | 855.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed No | 9c | 807.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 20c | 800.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…c7e4backed Yes | 67c | 733.12$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 23c | 721.01$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 708.11$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.73 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 47c | 693.7$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 80c | 628.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 76c | 600$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 78c | 591.34$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 566.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 72c | 558.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 79c | 499.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 78c | 453.75$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 9c | 427.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 28c | 417.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…86ddbacked Yes | 48c | 413.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 80c | 407.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 17c | 395.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 391$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 18c | 385.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 19c | 385.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 49c | 384.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 62c | 349$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 19c | 339$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 14c | 338.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 334.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed No | 8c | 324$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 7c | 320.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 18c | 311.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 40c | 304.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb9…10cebacked No | 10c | 299.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 27c | 298$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 32c | 294.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…9797backed No | 12c | 288.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 66c | 288.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 8c | 286$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…b0a4backed Yes | 60c | 276.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 19c | 266.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 46c | 265$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…cd04backed Yes | 48c | 260.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 68c | 259.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 253.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 46c | 227$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed No | 22c | 226$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 42c | 225.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 29c | 225$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 18c | 216.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…a03fbacked No | 8c | 213$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…6c7abacked No | 11c | 210$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed No | 18c | 205.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed Yes | 37c | 203.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…97e6backed No | 17c | 195.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 36c | 194.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc95…8e36backed Yes | 48c | 184.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…ac46backed Yes | 56c | 173.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…d71abacked No | 10c | 166.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 165$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 65c | 165$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 19c | 161.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 48c | 160.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 72c | 160.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 159.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 49c | 146.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?this page
- Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
- Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
- Will Rodney Walker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
- Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.