Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ca7aa98d9112934b6dcfc485c12eaedaa582eb4c1f1502611c030313625ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 58c | 3,160$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.89 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 2,502$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.02 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 49c | 1,852$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.52 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 69c | 1,769$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.62 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,751$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 57c | 1,652$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.04 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,287$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.15 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 65c | 971.57$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 897.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 59c | 732.06$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.68 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 71c | 644.88$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.65 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 45c | 555$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 50c | 496.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 36c | 491$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.73 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 41c | 408.12$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 48c | 400.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.39 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 353.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 352.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 75c | 335.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 65c | 323.45$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 309.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 58c | 279.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 29c | 261.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…b8c7backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 42c | 229.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 42c | 218.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 211.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 60c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 28c | 194.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…1b41backed No | 54c | 186.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 19c | 168$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed Yes | 71c | 161.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 156$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 150.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 21c | 147.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 64c | 130.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 114$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 40c | 113.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 40c | 113.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 42c | 108.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 67c | 101.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 39c | 97.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 67c | 94.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 32c | 93.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 36c | 89.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…2b7cbacked Yes | 46c | 86.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed No | 29c | 84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked Yes | 63c | 79.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 40c | 77.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c2…f0a4backed Yes | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 74.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked No | 34c | 74.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 45c | 72.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 49c | 71.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…087bbacked No | 61c | 70.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 65c | 69.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 36c | 64.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…24bfbacked Yes | 72c | 60.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…ef4ebacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 56.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…1f77backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 43c | 52.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 47c | 50.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…f58dbacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…0aa2backed Yes | 61c | 48.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 48c | 46.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 49c | 46.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 50c | 46.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Yes | 71c | 41.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…1e38backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…0a91backed Yes | 70c | 40.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.