Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f6077699edd1c01f17b365b2305234f55a991d93919ea671b534664c1c12e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,903$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.92 | 4,665 | 26.6%1,242 W · 3,423 L | +65.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,258$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.89 | 1,464 | 58.5%857 W · 607 L | +71.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 1,145$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.89 | 1,457 | 34.8%507 W · 950 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 41c | 912.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 329 | 54.7%180 W · 149 L | +34.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 438.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 4,435 | 65.2%2,891 W · 1,544 L | +18.7wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 310.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 297$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 49c | 255.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.74 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 74c | 254.53$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 52c | 230.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 210.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 29c | 195$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1,235 | 59.7%737 W · 498 L | +35.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked Yes | 52c | 190.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 52c | 189.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 10,848 | 37.5%4,070 W · 6,778 L | +432.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 181$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 5,478 | 56%3,069 W · 2,409 L | -123.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 45c | 180.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 2,211 | 55.9%1,236 W · 975 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 47c | 155.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 33c | 142.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 5,795 | 60%3,479 W · 2,316 L | -110.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 24c | 129.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 123.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 4,302 | 53.5%2,303 W · 1,999 L | +157.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 122.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 4,616 | 58.3%2,689 W · 1,927 L | -114.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 60c | 120.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 116.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,433 | 52.1%747 W · 686 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 54c | 113.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 876 | 50.2%440 W · 436 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 109.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 1,611 | 61.8%995 W · 616 L | +17.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 50c | 105.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2,228 | 57%1,269 W · 959 L | +69.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…0aa2backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 102.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 102.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2,140 | 53.2%1,139 W · 1,001 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 49c | 101.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 208 | 31.3%65 W · 143 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 54c | 95.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 2,273 | 59.3%1,347 W · 926 L | +118.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 93.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 3,782 | 65.8%2,489 W · 1,293 L | +32.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 46c | 84.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 3,620 | 53.2%1,925 W · 1,695 L | +81.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 46c | 84.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 71c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 36c | 83.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 81.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 3,190 | 53.7%1,712 W · 1,478 L | -98.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 77.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,144 | 24.7%283 W · 861 L | +26.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed Yes | 58c | 73.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 52c | 73.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb930…435fbacked Yes | 69c | 71.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 27c | 67.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 452 | 40.7%184 W · 268 L | +29.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 42c | 66.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 2,208 | 59.2%1,307 W · 901 L | +111.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 49c | 66.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 2,252 | 56.6%1,275 W · 977 L | +64.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 60c | 61.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2,267 | 57.4%1,301 W · 966 L | +72.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 58.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 2,180 | 57%1,243 W · 937 L | +73.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 48c | 58.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 39c | 56.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 46c | 50.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…c224backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…9068backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 38c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 2,200 | 56%1,233 W · 967 L | +54.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,612 | 60.4%974 W · 638 L | -22.0wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 52c | 38.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 71c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 34.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 6,854 | 39.4%2,698 W · 4,156 L | +266.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 56c | 31.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 48c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3,821 | 61.1%2,336 W · 1,485 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 49c | 28.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…1303backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 60c | 26.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 62c | 24.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 46c | 23.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2,193 | 57%1,249 W · 944 L | +68.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 65c | 22.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 61c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 575 | 57.7%332 W · 243 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 916 | 55.9%512 W · 404 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,803 | 63.2%1,140 W · 663 L | -8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3daebacked Yes | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5,201 | 49.9%2,595 W · 2,606 L | -161.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…329ebacked Yes | 58c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 67c | 16.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…0a09backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.