Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39394f14d9027e76034a5d662fb3a453391b6f121112c22e4606fe27bb67a917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 36,428$16,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,746.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 26,221$11,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,726.12 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 24,398$11,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,871.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 53c | 20,086$10,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…6471backed Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 13,406$6,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.92 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 53c | 12,812$6,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 26c | 11,981$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 48c | 11,915$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 47c | 11,104$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 54c | 9,177$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 50c | 7,146$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.43 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 6,546$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.8 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 6,492$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,429$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 59c | 5,810$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 5,100$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Yes | 51c | 5,080$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 48c | 4,510$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 3,972$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.46 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 48c | 3,781$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 3,599$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.48 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…6c15backed Yes | 61c | 3,280$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 2,746$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,660$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.04 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 45c | 2,248$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.18 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 56c | 2,200$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,171$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.52 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 47c | 2,170$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 50c | 1,885$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…7a29backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 14c | 1,603$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.57 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 1,554$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.59 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 43c | 1,535$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.08 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 54c | 1,499$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,434$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 67c | 1,408$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 1,399$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.03 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 52c | 1,385$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 53c | 1,322$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 1,142$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.26 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 52c | 1,109$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…72c0backed Yes | 49c | 1,016$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 55c | 999$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 876.92$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 58c | 862.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 52c | 847.8$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 796$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.41 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 49c | 757.85$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 50c | 716$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 55c | 713.8$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.86 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4908backed Yes | 58c | 711.58$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 654.23$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 631$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.94 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 53c | 566.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 47c | 538.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes | 55c | 520.4$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 59c | 508.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…b432backed Yes | 53c | 506.86$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…f9d4backed Yes | 60c | 502.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 54c | 499.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 56c | 499.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…6b6abacked Yes | 53c | 471.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 433.53$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 55c | 431$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 49c | 427.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 53c | 391.09$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Yes | 51c | 374.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 368.77$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Yes | 55c | 365.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 42c | 351.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 50c | 347$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 53c | 340.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 43c | 332.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 52c | 319.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 51c | 319.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 56c | 299.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 49c | 295.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 58c | 258.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 55c | 255$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.