TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Red Wings, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$544,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,533 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Stars63c178,682$113,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,512.367051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Red Wings37c55,000$20,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,149.9111052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings36c50,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.9648545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings36c49,796$17,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,988.881,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Stars63c39,562$24,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,638.0351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Stars64c36,608$23,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,246.4815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Red Wings37c22,703$8,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,412.3736648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Stars64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings37c17,753$6,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.771,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings37c17,529$6,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,485.7379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings37c16,840$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.2861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,62515145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9832946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Red Wings36c11,824$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.5413049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings30c10,704$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.7927448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Red Wings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Red Wings37c9,878$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.4745751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Stars63c9,409$5,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,481.168657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Red Wings36c8,250$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9702536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Stars62c8,103$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.9824749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings37c8,067$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.641,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars62c7,830$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.281,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Red Wings38c7,720$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.1714954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Red Wings40c7,006$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.2611553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Red Wings1c6,683$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7434752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars68c6,350$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.071,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Stars75c5,969$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.5985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Red Wings36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Stars64c4,688$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.58748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings38c4,401$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.861,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Red Wings48c4,134$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Red Wings37c3,900$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43522946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Red Wings37c3,333$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.2791945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars63c3,305$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.371,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings27c2,818$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings28c2,792$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.3195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Red Wings41c2,455$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Stars59c2,404$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.7883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings36c2,361$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.8659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Stars62c2,222$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.4789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings7c2,200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Stars58c2,149$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Stars64c2,096$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.5612859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Stars79c1,979$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.256055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars74c1,914$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.481,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings29c1,856$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.082,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Red Wings10c1,851$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings37c1,800$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings37c1,771$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Stars62c1,766$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9130552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings37c1,630$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.141,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings8c1,552$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8830259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Red Wings22c1,412$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31121534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Stars62c1,345$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.165949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings26c1,327$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.072,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Red Wings41c1,324$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.6533447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Red Wings38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Red Wings23c1,296$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Stars64c1,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings37c1,245$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.441,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Red Wings39c1,236$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.043435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Red Wings6c1,232$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.724912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings36c1,178$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.732,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings26c1,112$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4733234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa105…da58backed Red Wings37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4071478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+67.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdf70…14f9backed Stars64c1,080$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e3…5ce8backed Stars64c1,020$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd7…d2dfbacked Red Wings12c1,019$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Stars61c1,018$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9510850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41027445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee8…dbcebacked Red Wings37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked Red Wings38c945.2$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.982128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Stars77c941.3$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars56c900.9$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.418258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Red Wings37c900$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32912646.8%59 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Stars56c894.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.293562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Red Wings33c888$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.268056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Red Wings1c835.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Red Wings35c822$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.711533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Red Wings36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28832150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29622352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Red Wings41c764.14$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1812653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25a…4ef4backed Stars64c691.5$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.941662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Red Wings38c680$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.426551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Red Wings37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Red Wings37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.752147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stars72c673.56$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79c5…64ecbacked Stars64c631$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.162450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Stars64c629.69$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6924952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e09…1088backed Red Wings45c626$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Red Wings36c625$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-57.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Stars64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22530657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…0ef0backed Stars64c604.25$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+62.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Red Wings37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Stars64c557.81$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.