NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0e44e760d031a0c169f9eb435b9e21eac4f7c9bb1c87d878c23f491cbfbd34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Red Wings, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 63c | 178,682$113,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,512.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Red Wings | 37c | 55,000$20,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,149.91 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.96 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 36c | 49,796$17,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,988.88 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 63c | 39,562$24,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,638.03 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Stars | 64c | 36,608$23,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,246.48 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Red Wings | 37c | 22,703$8,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.37 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Stars | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 17,753$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.77 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings | 37c | 17,529$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,485.73 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 37c | 16,840$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.28 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Red Wings | 36c | 11,824$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.54 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 30c | 10,704$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.79 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Red Wings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Red Wings | 37c | 9,878$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.47 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Stars | 63c | 9,409$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.16 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Red Wings | 36c | 8,250$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 62c | 8,103$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.98 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 37c | 8,067$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 62c | 7,830$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Red Wings | 38c | 7,720$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.17 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Red Wings | 40c | 7,006$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.26 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Red Wings | 1c | 6,683$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 68c | 6,350$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 75c | 5,969$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.59 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Red Wings | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Stars | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 38c | 4,401$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.86 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Red Wings | 48c | 4,134$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Red Wings | 37c | 3,900$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Red Wings | 37c | 3,333$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.27 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 63c | 3,305$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.37 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 27c | 2,818$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 28c | 2,792$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.31 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Red Wings | 41c | 2,455$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 59c | 2,404$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.78 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings | 36c | 2,361$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.86 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 62c | 2,222$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.47 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 7c | 2,200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Stars | 58c | 2,149$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Stars | 64c | 2,096$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.56 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Stars | 79c | 1,979$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 74c | 1,914$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.48 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 29c | 1,856$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Wings | 10c | 1,851$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,771$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Stars | 62c | 1,766$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.91 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,630$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.14 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings | 8c | 1,552$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Red Wings | 22c | 1,412$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Stars | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 26c | 1,327$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,324$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.65 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Red Wings | 23c | 1,296$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Stars | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,245$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.44 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,236$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Red Wings | 6c | 1,232$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 36c | 1,178$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings | 26c | 1,112$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…da58backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…14f9backed Stars | 64c | 1,080$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…5ce8backed Stars | 64c | 1,020$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…d2dfbacked Red Wings | 12c | 1,019$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Stars | 61c | 1,018$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.95 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbcebacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Red Wings | 38c | 945.2$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Stars | 77c | 941.3$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.11 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars | 56c | 900.9$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Red Wings | 37c | 900$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Stars | 56c | 894.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Red Wings | 33c | 888$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Red Wings | 1c | 835.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Red Wings | 35c | 822$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Red Wings | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Red Wings | 41c | 764.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…4ef4backed Stars | 64c | 691.5$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Red Wings | 38c | 680$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Red Wings | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Red Wings | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stars | 72c | 673.56$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…64ecbacked Stars | 64c | 631$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Stars | 64c | 629.69$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…1088backed Red Wings | 45c | 626$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Red Wings | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Stars | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…0ef0backed Stars | 64c | 604.25$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Red Wings | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Stars | 64c | 557.81$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Starsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.