Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83831604f88a889311dc484abc0d327d96f494bba9d41084bf1b84d8a991e97b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,118,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,239,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,118,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 13c | 72,035$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.19 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed Yes | 10c | 43,421$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.43 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 13c | 23,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 17c | 22,950$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.41 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 16,073$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.44 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…ddfcbacked Yes | 7c | 11,102$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 13c | 11,030$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.48 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.73 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 9,040$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.3 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 16c | 8,749$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.77 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes | 22c | 8,498$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 78c | 7,800$6,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 11c | 7,549$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.21 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…d8b9backed Yes | 4c | 7,143$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 8c | 6,902$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.68 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed Yes | 16c | 6,864$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.51 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 10c | 6,606$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.07 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 5c | 6,255$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 15c | 6,239$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.82 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Yes | 8c | 6,050$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…aa8dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 4,820$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.61 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 9c | 4,811$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 3c | 4,796$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,691$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 4,690$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 4,537$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.77 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 4,409$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.09 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 15c | 4,373$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.81 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…e3bbbacked Yes | 15c | 4,324$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 14c | 4,200$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 11c | 4,037$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 10c | 3,981$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.1 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed No | 76c | 3,705$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.68 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…7d5ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 15c | 3,295$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.07 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 6c | 3,250$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,160$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.36 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 16c | 3,132$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.93 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 11c | 3,119$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.13 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…9823backed Yes | 11c | 3,060$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,039$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 8c | 2,917$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 2,873$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes | 7c | 2,843$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 2,665$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,622$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,544$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,466$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 79c | 2,458$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.65 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 16c | 2,313$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 2,308$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 76c | 2,263$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.79 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,242$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…13b9backed No | 78c | 2,206$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Yes | 13c | 2,107$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,052$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 12c | 2,049$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…be60backed Yes | 19c | 2,044$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…d70dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 77c | 1,986$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.39 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…a7f5backed Yes | 10c | 1,962$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…5aa5backed No | 77c | 1,950$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,903$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.42 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 9c | 1,778$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,767$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,689$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…437fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,647$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 11c | 1,636$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed Yes | 15c | 1,600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 12c | 1,547$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,530$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…1472backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 10c | 1,486$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 18c | 1,390$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 5c | 1,390$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 13c | 1,352$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…b017backed Yes | 13c | 1,349$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 65c | 1,283$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.05 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 1,227$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 1,202$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 10c | 1,173$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,108$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 23c | 1,084$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 17c | 1,061$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…5d15backed No | 78c | 1,055$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 11c | 1,009$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…139cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 26c | 985.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 8c | 899.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 14c | 857$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 13c | 843.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.